Game fixed at Arco

Steal

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Mar 15, 2001
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Lakeshow...13 points 3rd qtr...no C. Webb..huh, low line of -3 for the 'show..not usually one to complain, but have a hunch game was fixed, I hate the F&*king NBA!
 

west coast guru

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Just got back from the game at Arco steal. It sure did look that way tonight. Lakers played with absolutely no energy and you were definitely set up. Sure kings play well at home but without cweb and a one point line with a 16-1 team vegas and the offshore books cleaned house. They have been doing so all week. They have been as lucky as sneaks. You should be betting with him. I have never seen a guy squeak out so many games. He has covered more games by a point or half of point this week than I have covered all season. Steal I have always thought the difference between a good handicapper and bad handicapper is luck. It is funny how some people talk about how good they are and I see them getting two late prevent touchdowns, or a fluke play, or a buzzer beater and they talk about how good they are. To me this is just having more luck than the guy who had the other side. I know one of the best handicappers around and he usually hit around 68% in the Nfl and he started the season out 2-6 in the nfl and has not bet since. If you are on a blowout then you can brag how good you are. Hope you steer clear of this nba it is fixed and hard to predict.
 

hoya

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The nba is not fixed. What you have to understand (and i shouldnt have to tell you this) is that nba players are people just like you and me. They have good days and they have bad days. You never see a team go through the nba season undefeated....no team couldnt even get close. Thats the way it is when you play every other day. Hell, they only play once a week in football and rarely does a team ever go undefeated in that. Every team will have its good games and its bad games and this was the perfect spot for the Lakers to lose one. They were on the road against a rival and against one of the best teams in basketball. The line was right where it needed to be. This fixed nonsense is just ridiculous.
 

yyz

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Mar 16, 2000
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wcg,

Kind of a cheap shot at Sneaks, don't you think? The puts in a great deal of work, from what I see, and never says a word about how he is doing, other than to post his record.

We all have wins and losses by a point or two from time to time, and Sneaks will have some of those break his heart, too.

Handicapping a game, means giving yourself a chance. That's what a huge percentage of people fail to understand. For you to be a successful capper, you do not have to pick a team that blows the spread away. Too many people think wrongly about that. Successful handicapping means you are "in the game" with your choice. So, Sneaks (or anyone else's) "luck" is not really luck at all, but the product of hard work, and good capping.

Sneaks has very few of his selections get "hammered", and that is why he is one of the best I have ever seen at this game. I know a lot of people will say he got "lucky" on Boston last night, too. You know what? It's not luck.

I hope you hit em hard this weekend.

------------------
"You can't polish a turd."
 

CryBoy

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wct: How the hell do you figure JT to be lucky! Consistently lucky? Do you ever take the time to read some of his write-ups? You might learn a thing or two reading his posts. Cheap shot, man! Cheap shot!

Steal: Did you think Lakers -1 was the play of the year? Lakers didn't particularly impress me with their marginal victory over Dallas on Wednesday. So why do you think they can't be beaten by Sacremento, IN Sacremento? Take time out to understand money management in this business so you won't be distraught after 1 losing play. Suggestion here is to take note of JT's unit plays and THUNDER'S percentage plays.

Best of luck to you guys...

[This message has been edited by CryBoy (edited 12-08-2001).]
 

Night Owl

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Not a Kings fan and no I didn't bet for them last night, but can they get just a little bit of damn credit/respect?! They are as tough as ANYBODY at home and the 2nd best team in the NBA, in my opinion, which is more than likely why LA was only a slight favorite. You think Sacramento "fears" LA? I sure as hell don't...especially not at Arco. Lakers were not going to go 81-1 and I'd bet anything the Kings had this game "circled" for a long time as you need to beat the upper-echelon teams to show everybody else that you really are that damn good. Forget about the games being fixed BS. Sacramento IS that damn good, period! Don't know about anybody else, but 2 general NBA rules I have is don't bet against the Lakers and don't bet against Sacramento when playing at home, unless you're getting a world of points (at least double digits, in my opinion) Good luck all

Night Owl
 

west coast guru

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To all who previoulsy replied I was not trying to bag on jt sneaks at all. I know he works his ass off and does an excellent job for the forum. I was purely pointing out that a good handicapper has a lot of luck. I was using sneaks as an example. He is 8-0 on his 4* with two buzzer beater miralcles. Now by my math that has him at +32 units instead of +15.2 units. I bet if we count his miralcles for against his miralces against he will come out on top. This makes a difference in 10 to 20%. So a 50% capper it could take up 60 or 70% just on sheer luck. For example lets say I handicapped all of jt sneaks plays and had the last two different than him. He would be 8-0 on two miracles and I would be 6-2 on bad luck. SO hypothetically could we say he was the better capper? I am not trying to put sneaks down at all. I bet with him because besides him being one of the best nba cappers I have seen he also has that other key ingredient with him which is luck.
You also need this to be sucessful. Nolan called him a god and I would agree. Also a guy like sneaks the bad breaks will never catch up with the good. A unlucky person the good breaks never catch up with the bad.
A normal person the good and bad breaks even out.
 

beavis

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Statistically, the difference between luck and skill is the number of trials. In the short term, it is ALL luck. Anybody can have a good or bad night, or a good or bad week. In the long term, it is ALL skill. If somebody bags 60% over the course of an entire season, that is not luck. JTS' performance certainly appears to be much more than pure luck, but time will tell...

BTW, the NBA is NOT fixed. These guys make way too much money to be corrupted. There is no way in hell they would risk it. I do believe that there are a handful of college games that are fixed every year -- the players in those games are typically poor kids who don't get paid anything (or at least not very much!).
 

CryBoy

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Let's just drop it!

We all know who's who around here, and we all know gambling is a business.

Lock it up, MJ.
 
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