Game Two System

[Toledo Prophet]

Hey Guys!!! Happy Friday to everyone! Another weekend of football is here.

I want to get the forum's opinions on the following Game 2 trend i stumbled upon while capping and reading about this weekend's match-up. Here goes:

Play on any Game 2 Dog who was in a bowl game last year.

Since 1980: 102-74-2 ATS......80-55-1 if in a non conference game......54-34-1 if a dog in that non conference game by just single digits.

Those numbers include winners with Cincy and MTSU from last night, although only cincy qualified for the non-conference and single digit aspect of the trend. Here are the rest of the weekend's Game 2 dogs that fit this system.

Navy +16 at Rutgers
BYU +8 at UCLA
Miami +10.5 at Oklahoma
Nevada +10 at Northwestern
ND +17.5 at Penn State
Oregon +7 at UM
Rice +7 at Baylor
San Jose +19 at KState
South Carolina +4 at UGA
USF +7 at Auburn
So Miss +10 at Tenn
TCU +9 at Texas
Troy +26 1/2 at Florida
VA Tech +12 at LSU
Wake +8 at home vs Nebraska.

BYU, Oregon, Rice, USF, TCU and Wake fall into the non conference dog, single digit dog qualifier.

In addition, within the whole record there is another interesting qualifier where if the play on team was favored by 15 or more in the opener they're 27-12-1 ATS in Game 2.....23-6-1 if opponent is off a win.....16-2 if opponent is off a win and cover.

I know Miami, Navy and Va Tech fits all the above parameters.....South Carolina might, were they favored last week by 15 or more?......Oregon might also, but not sure of their closing line vs Houston, and, well, uh, yeah, their foe is not playing off a win! Stupid Michigan!!!

Any thoughts on this system, and, especially any of the above games?

Hey, its Friday, a slow day in office, lets get some discussion going!!

 

[Cie]

SC didn't cover LW (-29) and Oreg did cover (-15)

I read about this system earlier this week and it is definitely something to look at.

Seems like Oreg fits the 16-2 trend.


GL w/ this:weed:

 

[Toledo Prophet]

Cie: Thanks for the info......i think that means South Carolina qualifies within the second angle.....but, no to Oregon because Michigan did not win last week........as a UM fan, that sentence still hurts to type! Damn!!

Anyway, getting back to the angles on this system it shows that Miami, Navy, Va Tech and South Carolina qualify for the Game 2 Dog, favored by 15 or more last week and playing a foe who won and covered last week.

I actually like all four of the above, but really only liked Va Tech before i found this angle.

Any thoughts on these four games?

 

[Sam Bone]

I don't tend to buy into these types of systems. I like to look at each year independently, but if you like playing trends of percentages it looks like you have found something here. If I were you I would be careful about picking and choosing and just bet them all for the same amount and hope the percentages work out for you. I wouldn't do that myself because it may be the year that this system you found is shot to hell.

Whatever you do good luck.

 

[Toledo Prophet]

Sam Bone: Thanks for the advice....that is the best way to do it, for sure. Do them all and not pick and choose. Any thoughts on Auburn-USF....i see the Bulls come up on this list. Are they really ready to compete at Auburn?!?!?

Getting back to this angle, what concerns me is that games for this system came up 176 times over 26 years....thats between 6-7 times per year. Yet, we have 15 this weekend, actually 17 if you count last night.

Systems that i have discovered over the years have a tendency to fall apart when more of them than usual suddenly come up.....i have no actual numbers to prove that, just my own experience. So I entered this skeptical.

BUT.....i am always intrigued by systems and historical stuff, and i have become a decent to good college capper as a result.....this one caught my eye......since the dogs went to a bowl last year, for the most part they are good teams.

When i looked at the roster of teams from this system, i saw a lot of games that i know i want to watch and break down, irrespective of whether or not i bet it.

Figured with a slow Friday, maybe this would spark a conversation or two about some of the above games, and maybe we all could hone in on a winner or two.

To the forum: Which of these do you see as live dogs?!?!?!

Where do we stand on TCU's chances tomorrow night? I've had some good luck on those boys in recent years, but now they're finally getting a chance to take on the Big Boy of the state of Texas. Will their defense harass Texas.....i remember Arkansas two years in a row a few years back beat texas and then take them down to the wire in a similar spot. Not to offend any Razorbacks, but i feel this TCU team is better than Arky those years and Texas is about the same.

 

[Sam Bone]

I noticed that all except one in this system are road dogs. Does this match up with years past or is there normally more home dogs?

As for the USF-Auburn game I'm just not sure what kind of team will show up for AU on Sat. I want to think they can cover the 7 at home, but a lot of guys like USF this weekend and they are not betting with the heart like I would be.

 

[el JB]

surely will try this angle

surely will try this angle

as always i play 2 team parlays and have found very good value in them in special situations following systems is one of these and my plays are in trios of 2 teams playing 100 each:
if one hits i come with 60 bucks profit
two hits 420 profit and max for 300 risk is 780 profit.
this angle has what i need to play a trio of 2 teamers and will try Miami +10.5 and South Carolina +4 in par 1, Oregon +7 and TCU +9 in par 2, and Rice +7 and USF +7 in par 3, because the others i have played 'em already in other parlays
best of luck to all and thanks for reassurance of this teams