Games & false favorite

Nickelback

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NC State +3 over Ohio State. . .

Buckeyes have no reason to be the favorite in this one except for their past success and ranking. I would consider the ML in this one except 3 points could be a huge number since its Ohio State. I think the Wolfpack will be the real deal this season even without their star QB. . . they have everything else in place.
 

Mr Hockey

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GL as I am with you on NC State. Do you have an opinion on your Wildcats? I think they can pull off the SU win against Wisky this Saturday especially if Davis doesn't play. Wisky is always good for a spot or two where they lose a game that they aren't supposed too & this imo looks like one of those spots.
 

ststrl

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Mr. Hockey as a UofA alum I was very happy to see UofA +10. Persoanlly I think that our defense looked good vs a very powerful Utah offense, and Utah was lucky to get away with a COVER. If I'm not mistaken UofA had 2 and maybe 3 turnovers in the red zone which should have been at least 10 additional points. Put that offense minus the mistakes up against Wisco and you could have a game. Add to that fact that the Wisco offense has looked very iffy this year, especially their passing game. This UofA team has the best corners I have seen since paying attention to UofA football (Was a student from 1998 - 2002) Add to the fact that A. Davis will likely be siting this one out, what you get is a probable UofA cover and a possible UofA win.
 

Mr Hockey

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Thank you for your opinion Ststrl, it is very appreciated. I played Ari +10 & +320. They are one of a number of dogs I'm looking to play on winning margins.
 

Nickelback

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Yeah, gotta agree with Arliss. . . Arizona could have won that game without turnovers and they had several opportunities including two tries from the one yard line to punch it in for a TD. They will only get better and ten points is a lot in this one.

The fact that Davis is out only helps our young and inexperienced D-line. Could be a good game.
 

AR182

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i just posted in another thread that i think ncst. is a very live dog with a very good chance of winning outright.

i also like arizona but am looking to see if the line moves against them.

good luck.
 

ststrl

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AR182 said:
i just posted in another thread that i think ncst. is a very live dog with a very good chance of winning outright.

i also like arizona but am looking to see if the line moves against them.

good luck.

I hit NCST +2.5 pretty big this morning as well. personally I think this line will move very little before the game starts and if at all in UofA's favor. The West coast gets no respect so I gaurantee you that when the UofA game was on at 10pm EST Sat night vs Utah hardly ANYONE saw the game, and ESPN's highlights included all of like 3 plays. I do think that many people saw Wisco lay an egg vs UNLV, becuae of that people are probably weary of playing Wisco.
 

Nickelback

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People may be weary but the consensus poll that I use shows 65% on Wisconsin for now. We'll see if that holds up. May not get a lot of action either way so the line may hold until kickoff but my thinking is that people will look at the Utah score and think that Wisconsin could very well win by the same margin. If the Cats can limit their turnovers this time around, it shouldn't happen.
 

ststrl

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Biren Ealy UofA's top WR is finally back and will be playing for the first time this year.

The line is now up to ARIZONA +11
 
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BadAngel

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Nickel, I agree with you on Ohio st. Just can't pull the trigger on this game. OSU always manages to win games like this somehow, someway. Good luck to you though.
 

Nickelback

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You're right BadAngel, they do. . . but that's why I like the 3 points instead of the ML. . . if OSU manages a win, I can't see it being anything more than a field goal. Now watch them prove me wrong and cruise in this one.
 

Master Capper

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As I stated earlier I have watched OSU play twice this season and saw the Marshall game live, but I came away very unimpressed with OSU on both sides of the ball. The running game has been average at best as Ross and Hall have really not stepped up their game, Pittman has looked the best of all the backs but now he has a Hammy pull. Zwick has a strong arm but also makes very poor reads and this has been happening since his senior year at Massilon High School. The defense took a big hit when Fox broke his arm last week as he was the main leader of the defense and is a coach on the field so his loss will be huge for the Buckeyes. The loss of Fox was quite apparent against Marshall as the underneath passing lanes were wide open and no one on the field could seem to point this out and make the adjustments on the field. I have not seen NC State play this year and I think they still have some huge ? marks at the QB position. The defense the Pack faces this week may be the best defense that they will face all year, as IMO the buckeyes have the best linebackers one through five in the country, so running the ball will be difficult for the Pack against the Bucks. It is hard to not at least look at playing the dog here as the game conditions may be sloppy and the home field advantage is not measurable and if you add to this that this will be the Buckeyes first road game of the year they may have trouble in a hostile venue.
 

Nickelback

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Yeah, there's really no doubt in my mind that OSU was a false favorite in this one. Now we'll just see if it works out like its supposed to. . . unfortunately we're still dealing with college kids in a sporting event!

Forgot to mention this earlier but I like Auburn at a pk huge over LSU. Will discuss this one a little later.
 

Nickelback

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Playing Auburn for two reasons: Home team and better rushing attack. The Tigers should control this game and I'm still not sold on LSU this year.

Will also play Arizona +11 over Wisconsin for an average play. Call it the due factor but Arizona should be able to cover this number and keep it close. The key could be Bell if he is 100% healthy or not but Wisconsin doesn't exactly have a superior offensive attack. . . especially without Davis. Arizona's Dline is very suspect but this could play into their hands with Davis out. Just looks like a good matchup for the Wildcats to keep it close in what should be a low scoring affair.

Still looking for others but may stick with these three and call it a day.
 

Nickelback

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Posting this a little late but taking Maryland +7 (buy the half point) for an average play. Maryland has owned West Virginia and it may take a little more for the Mountaineers to just win this game let alone win by more than a td. Great value here IMO.
 

Nickelback

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Got lucky with Auburn but I'll take it. . . the Tigers are legit and could be in the hunt for the NC.

Adding Tennessee -3. . . late post but I'll take the team that should have greater success running the ball.
 
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