Going Big Tonight

[Destructor D]

Already placed my wagers earlier today, but just now finding time to post.

W. Michigan has owned C. Michigan at home in past seasons. However, this is by far CMU's toughest team they have faced @ home and CMU has dominated MAC opposition and done good when not playing one of the big boys (got crushed by Kansas, Purdue, and Clemson). CMU still looking at a Motor City Bowl bid and MAC title while WMU is probably thrilled the season is almost done. Weather forecast is brutal which should help CMU since they're the better rushing team and they have the far better QB. WMU's Hiller has been mistake prone and whomever jumps ahead in this crappy weather should have a huge advantage.

CMU -2.5 (-120) for 12.5* - Chippewas continue to dominate the MAC and I would have made this line closer to 6 or 7 points. I was shocked when the line came out at 3 and was actually down to 2.5 this morning. Is this game a trap? I guess we'll find out within a few hours.

CMU 1st half -1 for 4* - Playing this wager smaller as I could see WMU hanging tough for the 1st half.

Under 62.5 for 6* - I placed this wager early this afternoon. Total is down to 59.5 now. Total is too high for high winds and percipitation IMO.

C. Michigan 31 W. Michigan 20

GLTA

 

[Sam Bone]

I'm also on CM -2.5 and under 66. I looked at the weather this morning and caught a good line on the total.

What's your opinion on taking the over now and trying to middle. My gut says this goes way under, but my gut has not been to good lately.

 

[Destructor D]

I have a very small shot at a middle with 62.5 and then taking 59.5.

However, if I had 66, it might be worth a shot. I love playing middles as you can't lose anything expect vig. However, you're going to lose vig most of the time... but, you make 20 times your vig when you win! I would check the weather forecast one more time before the game begins and then make a decision, but I would let my Under 66 ride as you should have a 75% shot at winning that wager. I would guess your odds of this game going over 59.5 are 30%.

 

[Destructor D]

CMU 2nd half -3 (+100) for 3*... Tough to go bigger when they could only score 3 points in the 1st half and looked terrible in the process.

GLTA

 

[chooch fader]

good luck on the play

 

[Sam Bone]

I can't believe those 4th quarter points. I'm glad I had the under at 66. Congrats on the CMU plays. Tough luck on the under, but it looks like you did pretty well on your plays.