This is my first year handicapping the NHL. I can't say it's been very profitable, but it has been fun. I have learned so much from the guys in this forum who have had successful seasons.
I think I am getting a good feel for finding picks with the best value. I try to look for a clear mismatch, with the better team at a reasonable price. Some of the important factors that are not measured by statistical analysis and lead to these valuable mismatches are motivation and fatigue The best example in the past couple of days was S.J. (-155) at Columbus. I wish I had risked more on that game!
It seems to me that handicapping playoff games will be much more difficult because the teams are playing a series (equal fatigue) and both teams are playing with intensity (equal motivation).
What are the most important factors to consider when handicapping playoff hockey?
How does a best of 7 series change the way we evaluate the stats?
Any input from some of the great cappers here would be appreciated!!
Prestidig
I think I am getting a good feel for finding picks with the best value. I try to look for a clear mismatch, with the better team at a reasonable price. Some of the important factors that are not measured by statistical analysis and lead to these valuable mismatches are motivation and fatigue The best example in the past couple of days was S.J. (-155) at Columbus. I wish I had risked more on that game!
It seems to me that handicapping playoff games will be much more difficult because the teams are playing a series (equal fatigue) and both teams are playing with intensity (equal motivation).
What are the most important factors to consider when handicapping playoff hockey?
How does a best of 7 series change the way we evaluate the stats?
Any input from some of the great cappers here would be appreciated!!
Prestidig
