have to watch the bonds, and the US

selkirk

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well, not much has changed for me in the last month. still have a larger cash position than normal, did by a few resource stocks, the run was brief and have been stopped out on most of the positions.

here are the negatives and positives, have no idea on which way the market will go in on any given week.

positives
the credit market for companies is still good, ie. HR reit in Canada offered 5 years bonds paying 4.8% unsecured, sold out instantly.

enbridge offered preferred that also sold well, companies can still borrow cheaply so not like 2008

- also economic news for the US in the past few weeks though not great has shown slow growth in the economy.

negataves
- as long as the Italy and Spanish bonds are close to 7% that is trouble and a huge warning sign.

the bigger concern going ahead is what will happen to french bonds, on of the two strong players (thought to be) along with Germany in the bail out.

France should not have a triple AAA credit rating, they are doing everything correctly even bringing in a better budget with more cost controls..., however they will be more exposed (French ) banks than they are to Greece.

as this time no ones knows their true exposure to Italy, except that it probably is more than what they have invested in Greece.

also as Italy slows probably not growing this will effect the French economy far more (since they are large trading partner ) than Greece.

Spain is also a concern they have to get the bond yields below 7%.

will be getting a shopping list of stocks, if the market drops, though will take my time, (lousy at picking market bottoms).

most of my November options expired and worked out well, did buy some tck.b (tck) (put to me) but will sell covered calls, and some higher price uncovered calls against the positon.

thanks
selkirk
 
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bases

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i have my eye on a couple of penny stocks,,and hoping for the market to continue to fall,,as i want to penny stock to go lower than it is now,,,but as you mentioned when the europe saga ends,,markets should be more stable
 

selkirk

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Bases I would get your shopping list ready, heard interviews with 3 interesting companies, they have a resource, stable areas, depends they all have a few problems, but all are near their lows.

the big question is how can you raise the money, most of these project you need hundreds of millions and credit will start to get harder and harder, if this continues.

I can wait, do not have to get the bottom. should say in 2008 I had a great list of jr., however only bought about 25% of the positons as was still worried about more downside.

thanks
selkirk
 
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