nevada (+8.5) 2 units. this is one of the rare times i'm ignoring the line movement. i simply don't see southern miss being ready to play this game. they pulled off the big upset in the conference usa championship game (and in the process, cost every team in the conference $1.5M). now they get a trip to hawaii to play a 7-5 nevada team. nevada goes to hawaii every other year, so the island is not a distraction for them.
both teams are just about even on the season for turnovers (nevada has exactly the same number of takeaways as giveaways, and southern miss has two more giveaways), but what jumped out to me is the fumbles. only 6 teams in the country lost more fumbles than southern miss. one sure sign of a team that's not focused is dropped passes and fumbles, so that's something to keep an eye on saturday night. if the wolfpack can limit their own turnovers, there's a good chance they'll win this game.
the over is so incredibly obvious in this game. and the total moving up would seem to indicate the over is the way to go. but i smell a rat. why was it so low to start with? i'll probably stay off it.
both teams are just about even on the season for turnovers (nevada has exactly the same number of takeaways as giveaways, and southern miss has two more giveaways), but what jumped out to me is the fumbles. only 6 teams in the country lost more fumbles than southern miss. one sure sign of a team that's not focused is dropped passes and fumbles, so that's something to keep an eye on saturday night. if the wolfpack can limit their own turnovers, there's a good chance they'll win this game.
the over is so incredibly obvious in this game. and the total moving up would seem to indicate the over is the way to go. but i smell a rat. why was it so low to start with? i'll probably stay off it.
