Actually my friend, I'm looking to make it Toledo +9. . . no way in hell Western beats them by double digits IMO. Both teams struggling a little. . . no question about it, but Toledo owns this team: won 9 of the last 10, covered 8 of the last 10 with the other two being a push and no line from Vegas. Toledo has struggled on the road despite their win at Michigan State, but getting nine points here is just too many. . . especially after coming up short at home after playing hard against Central to end up losing by only two.
The line looks fair if you throw out the history between these teams. But I still contend that Western has become overvalued as represented by their 4 game ATS slide after covering several double digit lines.
Your thoughts?