HELP!! Late Game Hedging... SLUMDOG? Jord20? Buehler?? Anyone??? thoughts plz

[LordofBalls]

Ok... here's the scenario, I've got the plays shown below.

Parlays
1) Mia-F ml (W)/ WFor ml (W)/ Giants ml (W)/______(open) <<< 37/1752

If I plug in Balt ml = $1338 payout
If I plug in Balt -2.5 = $1459 payout

Then I can hedge w/Steelers (my site has +4/-115)


Who You Guys Like Tonight? I got 20 mins or so...

appreciate your thoughts!

LoB

 

[LordofBalls]

OR... IF you love the STEELERS tonight... I use STeelers ML and it pays over $2637

would have to lay over 2/1 to hedge, but its a possibility!

 

[LordofBalls]

halftime, should at least be 10-6, mebbe 10-10 but didn't happen.

I ended up filling in the parlay w/Steelers +4.5 to win $1677

I already had another parlay that only needs Balt ML to win $552
And a 13 pt Teaser w/Steelers +17

so:
If Balt wins by 18 or more, I'll win $302 for the late gm
If Balt wins by 5-16 pts, I'll win $637
If Balt wins by 1-4 pts, I'll win $652 + $1677 == + $2329
If Steelers win outright, I'll win $1703 <--- winner winner!!!

I also hit
Henry OV 89.5 rush prop (WIN)
Gainwell OV 4.5 recpts (WIN)

GL to US!!!

 

[LordofBalls]

If Steelers win = +1703

gnite!

 

[Randercity]

If Steelers win = +1703

gnite!

This last post was not MADJACK approved I'm sure...

 

[Slumdog]

Sorry LOB. IF ya can believe it I fell asleep early in the game. Lol. Hope you hit.

 

[Slumdog]

Oh baby. 17-1 !!!!! Congrats !!!

 

[LordofBalls]

"so:
If Balt wins by 18 or more, I'll win $302 for the late gm
If Balt wins by 5-16 pts, I'll win $637
If Balt wins by 1-4 pts, I'll win $652 + $1677 == + $2329
If Steelers win outright, I'll win $1703"

Rander, I fully expected the kick to go thru for the win, it cost me over $600 when it did not.

however, hitting for + $1703 took me up just under 3k, I'll take it!!! especially when it looked like Henry would get $250 and knock me out of the $$$ in my fantasy league, along w/a Ravens blowout paying me the least amount possible...

It's not the "buy a house" windfall situation but it's a nice chunka change for a part-time knucklehead!

picking out the 3 ML winners (Mia-F/WFor/NYGia) was the key to the big payout obviously.
and then I had the built-in hedge w/Balt ML from the par I'd put in yesterday morning.

IF I'd plugged Steelers ML in as 4th leg, kick would've hit the upright and gone thru for 3pts

I LOVE IT WHEN A PLAN COMES TOGETHER!!!

LOB

 

[LordofBalls]

Hey Slum, just went bk and re read your comment..

you said 17-1, actually it was 45.3/1

 

[Slumdog]

That’s niiiiiice !! Enjoy