2 Units on St Louis Cardinals -145 (Maddux - R, Marquis - R)
I don't think that it gets any easier than this. The Cards are 7-0 this Month against the money line. They are playing some awesome baseball right now and I think were getting a fair shake on this price. The only reason this line is as low as it is, is because of "MADDUX". I think Vegas is forgetting that this is not the Maddux of old. Lets look how he has been so far in this situation. 21-26 against the money line in road games vs. division opponents since 1997. 10-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. The Cubs as a team are 1-6 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off this season.
Like I said before the Cards are playing some awesome baseball right now. Check these numbers out.! The Cards are 11-2 against the money line when playing on Friday this season. And Marquis is 7-1 against the money line when his team is off 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.Marquis is 9-1 against the money line when his team is off a win this season.
The better team will prevail in this affair. Looks to be a close game but the home team will pull it out in the end.
3 Units on San Diego Padres -200 (Estes - L, Wells - L)
Kind of a deep price but I do think that this is the best play on the board today. Mr. Wells has all of a sudden remembered how to pitch by winning 10 of his last 11 outings for the Month of Julio. WELLS is 10-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
Estes had great stuff but now your seeing the reason the Cubs shipped his ass out of Chicago. I bet when it is Estes time in the rotation to pitch and it falls on a Friday I think he wishes he would get ill or something because he is just horrible on Fridays. I mean HORRIBLE only winning twice in his last 17 starts. ESTES is 2-15 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
? COLORADO is 65-140 (-55.7 Units) against the money line in road games in all games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 43-96 (-42.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 65-140 (-55.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 7-26 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
2 Units on Arizona Diamondbacks -120 (Johnson - L, Williams - R)
I am banking this play on Randy Johnson alone. This guy is Mr. Arizona. I know he is up there in age for a starting pitcher but this guy can bring the pain. He is 6-0, 2.66 in his last seven road starts. Randy Johnson is 15 - 4 against a good on-base-percentage (> .345) team as a favorite on the road. Randy Johnson is 16 - 5 against a good extrapolated runs team (> 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite on the road. Randy Johnson is 53 - 26 overall as a favorite on the road. As long as Johnson goes we have a great chances. You know at his age he is always looking for the complete game.
2 Units on Texas Rangers +140 (Benoit - R, Arroyo - R)
I think were getting a gift here. Texas is playing some very good ball right now and I wont mention the fact that they already spanked the Sox 3 times already this year. They say its hard to beat a team twice but when you beat them 3 times it is as simple as it gets. They are simply a better team.
? TEX is 9-4 in Game 1 of a series after a win.
? Sox are 0-7 in Arroyo's last seven starts.
? TEX is 37-23 against right-handed starters this year.
I think were getting great some value on a live dog here that will bite.
1 Unit on Cleveland Indians -140 (Saarloos - R, Westbrook - R)
This game scares me a tad bit and thats why I only made it a 1 unit play. I think Westbrooks record is a true reflection of a bullpen collapsing. This guy is not that bad. The Tribe usually take care of business at home and they already beat the A's three times this year at home. When you have a pitcher that's 0-4 against his opponent theres a bigger monkey than you know on his back. Do you think Vegas is dumb???? A pitcher that is 0-4 against a team and he is a -140 favorite???? One thing going for us here is that the Home team is 10-2 the last 12 played and the A's have only won 6 times on the road in their last 22. I like our chance and we will jump against the public on this play.
2 Units on Atlanta Braves O 10 -110 (Thomson - R, Milton - L)
This match-up I expect to see lots of runs going on in this affair. Guys, when you have a team hitting over .300 in their l! ast 10 games that means they are scoring runs. The Braves have been winning in July and when you win you score runs. They have been getting their fair number of runs at an average of 6.0 a game. The Braves send Thomson to the mound who has just been pathetic. His ERA in his last 3 starts is close to 7.0. The Braves are 6-2-1 OVER in their last 9 starts. Now, lets look at the Phillies. The OVER is 10-4 their last 14. Milton has been red hot as of late but thats because of great run support. The Phillies are averaging 6.30 runs a game. Milton is hittable as he has an ERA of 5.30 in his last 3 starts. Guys, I think we see some firecrackers in this one.
moon1 Best of Luck
CS
I don't think that it gets any easier than this. The Cards are 7-0 this Month against the money line. They are playing some awesome baseball right now and I think were getting a fair shake on this price. The only reason this line is as low as it is, is because of "MADDUX". I think Vegas is forgetting that this is not the Maddux of old. Lets look how he has been so far in this situation. 21-26 against the money line in road games vs. division opponents since 1997. 10-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. The Cubs as a team are 1-6 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off this season.
Like I said before the Cards are playing some awesome baseball right now. Check these numbers out.! The Cards are 11-2 against the money line when playing on Friday this season. And Marquis is 7-1 against the money line when his team is off 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.Marquis is 9-1 against the money line when his team is off a win this season.
The better team will prevail in this affair. Looks to be a close game but the home team will pull it out in the end.
3 Units on San Diego Padres -200 (Estes - L, Wells - L)
Kind of a deep price but I do think that this is the best play on the board today. Mr. Wells has all of a sudden remembered how to pitch by winning 10 of his last 11 outings for the Month of Julio. WELLS is 10-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
Estes had great stuff but now your seeing the reason the Cubs shipped his ass out of Chicago. I bet when it is Estes time in the rotation to pitch and it falls on a Friday I think he wishes he would get ill or something because he is just horrible on Fridays. I mean HORRIBLE only winning twice in his last 17 starts. ESTES is 2-15 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
? COLORADO is 65-140 (-55.7 Units) against the money line in road games in all games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 43-96 (-42.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 65-140 (-55.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
? COLORADO is 7-26 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
2 Units on Arizona Diamondbacks -120 (Johnson - L, Williams - R)
I am banking this play on Randy Johnson alone. This guy is Mr. Arizona. I know he is up there in age for a starting pitcher but this guy can bring the pain. He is 6-0, 2.66 in his last seven road starts. Randy Johnson is 15 - 4 against a good on-base-percentage (> .345) team as a favorite on the road. Randy Johnson is 16 - 5 against a good extrapolated runs team (> 5.1 xr/g) as a favorite on the road. Randy Johnson is 53 - 26 overall as a favorite on the road. As long as Johnson goes we have a great chances. You know at his age he is always looking for the complete game.
2 Units on Texas Rangers +140 (Benoit - R, Arroyo - R)
I think were getting a gift here. Texas is playing some very good ball right now and I wont mention the fact that they already spanked the Sox 3 times already this year. They say its hard to beat a team twice but when you beat them 3 times it is as simple as it gets. They are simply a better team.
? TEX is 9-4 in Game 1 of a series after a win.
? Sox are 0-7 in Arroyo's last seven starts.
? TEX is 37-23 against right-handed starters this year.
I think were getting great some value on a live dog here that will bite.
1 Unit on Cleveland Indians -140 (Saarloos - R, Westbrook - R)
This game scares me a tad bit and thats why I only made it a 1 unit play. I think Westbrooks record is a true reflection of a bullpen collapsing. This guy is not that bad. The Tribe usually take care of business at home and they already beat the A's three times this year at home. When you have a pitcher that's 0-4 against his opponent theres a bigger monkey than you know on his back. Do you think Vegas is dumb???? A pitcher that is 0-4 against a team and he is a -140 favorite???? One thing going for us here is that the Home team is 10-2 the last 12 played and the A's have only won 6 times on the road in their last 22. I like our chance and we will jump against the public on this play.
2 Units on Atlanta Braves O 10 -110 (Thomson - R, Milton - L)
This match-up I expect to see lots of runs going on in this affair. Guys, when you have a team hitting over .300 in their l! ast 10 games that means they are scoring runs. The Braves have been winning in July and when you win you score runs. They have been getting their fair number of runs at an average of 6.0 a game. The Braves send Thomson to the mound who has just been pathetic. His ERA in his last 3 starts is close to 7.0. The Braves are 6-2-1 OVER in their last 9 starts. Now, lets look at the Phillies. The OVER is 10-4 their last 14. Milton has been red hot as of late but thats because of great run support. The Phillies are averaging 6.30 runs a game. Milton is hittable as he has an ERA of 5.30 in his last 3 starts. Guys, I think we see some firecrackers in this one.
moon1 Best of Luck
CS
