I found every thing i need to prove That the younger faster agressive HC and team wins
1st off they wanted the game replayed of saints and rams but they all missed the dumbness playcalling of saints before that NON call.
The Game was reaplayed in OT and what did drew brees DO with the Ball?
BOOM tossed an INTERCEPTION and gets to stay Home for the superbowl with the rest of his team
Some say the Patriots peaked at right time oooooooooo MFG they were 9-5 and finaltwo home games were vs theee worst teams in NFL BILLS and JETS
final 6 Games of Patriots were
Sun, Nov 25 @ NY Jets W 27 - 13
Sun, Dec 2 vs Minnesota W 24 - 10
Sun, Dec 9 @ Miami L 34 - 33
Sun, Dec 16 @ Pittsburgh L 17 - 10
Sun, Dec 23 vs Buffalo W 24 - 12
Sun, Dec 30 vs NY Jets W 38 - 3
are you serious 6 non playoff teams Patriots i read said the two road losses woke them up and made them play better OMFG what a JOKE :mj07:
They got a tired Chargers team in home playoff game on thier 3rd str8 road and b 2 b east travels
easiest money ever for me then finals vs the 31st ranked defense had to win coin toss to get into OT and went down field with 5 3rd downs to score a TD
STRENGTH of Schedule is a JOKE
Rams T 5th toughest
Patriots T 22nd Easiest and guess who they tied with ? THE COLTS
Power ratings do not matter because Patriots was on cupcake schedule
THe patriots Defense couldnt halt chiefs at all
they got smoked by young gun who tosssed for 3 td's with no INTS
BRday meanwhile had 1 td and almost 3 INTS thanks to D ford for lining UP offsides they got ball back
IF that INT holds up Chiefs win
Thats it that one stupid penalty by Cheifs gave Patriots the win
also the personal foul call against cheifs when guys hand landed on Bradys tit!
NEVER touched helmet.
:mj07:
They all say who will Bill B take away from other team and who will mc vay take away
quote#1
Posted: 1/25/2019 12:00:32 PM
WELL let me make it Clearly stupid simple ONE guy you stop ONE man
THE MODDER FUGGING QB period.
KEEP him on the bench and when he is on filed get in face every play hurry him up take him off his rhythm YOU win the Game.
Thats it thats the guy you take away from the other team NOT JOE Blow WR or Jack mehoof RB the fugging QB
Then YOU will hoist the Lombardi:00x23
Patriots being negative in pure points
Yes ..its all about this year. There's no doubt Tom is great and he will have a good game...Hes no Andrew Luck that's for sure. But since this is a road game.. lets take a look at his/teams 8 game offensive and defensive road series using a pure points statistical analyses
Opp / Off-Def / OPR
Pitt 10-17 24.5
Mia 33-34 16
Jets 27-13 13
Tenn 10-34 19
Buff 15-6 12
Bears 24-31 20.5
Det 3-26 16
Jags 13-31 22
135-192 18
as you can see the teams offensive and defensive pure points-point differential is negative..even if we go to the last 4 road game series ..its still runs negative
135-192 = - 57 pure point differential.. div by 8 games is -7 pure points per game. Since NE was at a disadvantage ea game because they were on the road, we add 3 pts to ea rd gm(24)...now your -57 becomes (-33) divided by 8 rd games = -4 pure points per game
. NE is losing to an AOPR of 18 by -4 pppg giving them a 14 road rating overall. These are real #'s and as close as it comes to a mathematical perspective of what the true offensive and defensive road performance of NE is during the overall season in that 8 gm road series.
The defense is giving up more points than the offense is scoring through out the season using the 8 game road series clip. On an average per game basis the ave pure points against( ppa) is 23.3. The ave ppf( pure points for) is 17. Now of course we need to use a recent form, teams change form wk 1 so...
3 road wins 5 road loses >Jags/Det/Tenn/Miami/Pitt the last team NE played on the road was Pitt a team they have owned for 6 years...and Pitt almost lost to Cinn one of the worst defenses in the NFL with a rookie QB in Driscoll..You will see the eye test and the numbers both co-inside. New England > Jekyll and Hyde team from Home. )
VEGAS report wagers heavy on Patriots 90% OMG
?We opened our line at Patriots -1 and even then I knew it was a little different than some other major books had posted it just didn?t feel right.? Rood said. ?We quickly moved the line to -1.5. We took a couple of big bets right away on New England which moved the line to -2 which where we are right now.?
There?s been some talk about ?Patriots fatigue? among bettors, but Rood suggested that people are happy to put their money behind Tom Brady and Bill Belichick once again.
?Familiarity is a big draw. People who have cashed in the past on the Patriots will probably go to the well again,? he said.
?We opened the total at 59.5. We?ve also taken a little bit of under money which is a little surprising. I gotta think as the next couple of weeks progress we?re going to see at least 70% of the money come in on the over.?
The Westgate SuperBook opened the betting at Rams -1 but quickly flipped their line thanks to an onslaught of New England support.
?We moved pretty quickly to Patriots -1,? Derek Wilkinson, a supervisor at the Westgate, said. ?We discussed it further and ?The Legend? [Westgate sportsbook manager] Jeff Sherman, brought up the point that the public is going to hammer the Patriots no matter what, so we had to favor them.?
Sherman was right, as money continued to steam in on the Patriots even when the line flipped.
?We know the Rams are the more talented team, but no one likes betting against Belichick and Brady. Especially, after the game on Sunday,? Wilkinson continued. ?Sure enough, the public is all over New England. The line has been up less than a day and we already have a large five-figure liability on them as 90% of the tickets sold are on New England. We haven?t taken much Rams money at all yet and the line is up to Patriots -2.?
It will be interesting to see what happens if the line gets to -3, as that is a key number in betting. Will sharp bettors swoop in on the Rams if it continues to creep up?
?I think the current trend is going to continue unless we get above Patriots -3,? Wilkinson said. ?I also think we?ll get some wiseguy action once the Rams are getting 3 points. I do think the line is heading that direction, but probably won?t reach 3.5.?
TOTAL POINTS scored by Patriots 1st quarters in 8 superbowls THREE :mj07:
SOME PEOPLE SAYING NO WAY PATS LOSE TWO STRAIGHT SUPERBOWLS!
ummmmmmmmmmm love to wack those dummies in the head ...this is thier 1st time in this situation
VIKINGS lost two straight TWICE The Bills lost 4 straight
EVERY ONE said The Cowboys are too inexperinced to beat the Bills second year HC and QB and Team
wow what was that final score 52 - 13 or something
This is 1st super loser to get back to SB since 25 fugging years ago 1993
THE Bills will love it watching Brady fail again
:lol:
MANY i see betting Patriots ML well i'm laughing so hard here because every superbowl was won by way more than 2 points only 1 point win margin was 6 1/2 DOG Giants over Bills 20-19
Look at Packers - 2 1/2 Vs steelers a 6 point win
Patriots -3 vs falcons a 6 point win
-1 point Patriots Seahawks 4 point margin
in short if you bet the ML in this one your losing more money lay the 2.5 or take rams ML a paltry +125
I'll add more stuff here later as in my systems for handicapping superbowls right now patriots fail guranteed
1st off they wanted the game replayed of saints and rams but they all missed the dumbness playcalling of saints before that NON call.
The Game was reaplayed in OT and what did drew brees DO with the Ball?
BOOM tossed an INTERCEPTION and gets to stay Home for the superbowl with the rest of his team
Some say the Patriots peaked at right time oooooooooo MFG they were 9-5 and finaltwo home games were vs theee worst teams in NFL BILLS and JETS
final 6 Games of Patriots were
Sun, Nov 25 @ NY Jets W 27 - 13
Sun, Dec 2 vs Minnesota W 24 - 10
Sun, Dec 9 @ Miami L 34 - 33
Sun, Dec 16 @ Pittsburgh L 17 - 10
Sun, Dec 23 vs Buffalo W 24 - 12
Sun, Dec 30 vs NY Jets W 38 - 3
are you serious 6 non playoff teams Patriots i read said the two road losses woke them up and made them play better OMFG what a JOKE :mj07:
They got a tired Chargers team in home playoff game on thier 3rd str8 road and b 2 b east travels
easiest money ever for me then finals vs the 31st ranked defense had to win coin toss to get into OT and went down field with 5 3rd downs to score a TD
STRENGTH of Schedule is a JOKE
Rams T 5th toughest
Patriots T 22nd Easiest and guess who they tied with ? THE COLTS
Power ratings do not matter because Patriots was on cupcake schedule
THe patriots Defense couldnt halt chiefs at all
they got smoked by young gun who tosssed for 3 td's with no INTS
BRday meanwhile had 1 td and almost 3 INTS thanks to D ford for lining UP offsides they got ball back
IF that INT holds up Chiefs win
Thats it that one stupid penalty by Cheifs gave Patriots the win
also the personal foul call against cheifs when guys hand landed on Bradys tit!
NEVER touched helmet.
:mj07:
They all say who will Bill B take away from other team and who will mc vay take away
quote#1
Posted: 1/25/2019 12:00:32 PM
WELL let me make it Clearly stupid simple ONE guy you stop ONE man
THE MODDER FUGGING QB period.
KEEP him on the bench and when he is on filed get in face every play hurry him up take him off his rhythm YOU win the Game.
Thats it thats the guy you take away from the other team NOT JOE Blow WR or Jack mehoof RB the fugging QB
Then YOU will hoist the Lombardi:00x23
Patriots being negative in pure points
Yes ..its all about this year. There's no doubt Tom is great and he will have a good game...Hes no Andrew Luck that's for sure. But since this is a road game.. lets take a look at his/teams 8 game offensive and defensive road series using a pure points statistical analyses
Opp / Off-Def / OPR
Pitt 10-17 24.5
Mia 33-34 16
Jets 27-13 13
Tenn 10-34 19
Buff 15-6 12
Bears 24-31 20.5
Det 3-26 16
Jags 13-31 22
135-192 18
as you can see the teams offensive and defensive pure points-point differential is negative..even if we go to the last 4 road game series ..its still runs negative
135-192 = - 57 pure point differential.. div by 8 games is -7 pure points per game. Since NE was at a disadvantage ea game because they were on the road, we add 3 pts to ea rd gm(24)...now your -57 becomes (-33) divided by 8 rd games = -4 pure points per game
. NE is losing to an AOPR of 18 by -4 pppg giving them a 14 road rating overall. These are real #'s and as close as it comes to a mathematical perspective of what the true offensive and defensive road performance of NE is during the overall season in that 8 gm road series.
The defense is giving up more points than the offense is scoring through out the season using the 8 game road series clip. On an average per game basis the ave pure points against( ppa) is 23.3. The ave ppf( pure points for) is 17. Now of course we need to use a recent form, teams change form wk 1 so...
3 road wins 5 road loses >Jags/Det/Tenn/Miami/Pitt the last team NE played on the road was Pitt a team they have owned for 6 years...and Pitt almost lost to Cinn one of the worst defenses in the NFL with a rookie QB in Driscoll..You will see the eye test and the numbers both co-inside. New England > Jekyll and Hyde team from Home. )
VEGAS report wagers heavy on Patriots 90% OMG
?We opened our line at Patriots -1 and even then I knew it was a little different than some other major books had posted it just didn?t feel right.? Rood said. ?We quickly moved the line to -1.5. We took a couple of big bets right away on New England which moved the line to -2 which where we are right now.?
There?s been some talk about ?Patriots fatigue? among bettors, but Rood suggested that people are happy to put their money behind Tom Brady and Bill Belichick once again.
?Familiarity is a big draw. People who have cashed in the past on the Patriots will probably go to the well again,? he said.
?We opened the total at 59.5. We?ve also taken a little bit of under money which is a little surprising. I gotta think as the next couple of weeks progress we?re going to see at least 70% of the money come in on the over.?
The Westgate SuperBook opened the betting at Rams -1 but quickly flipped their line thanks to an onslaught of New England support.
?We moved pretty quickly to Patriots -1,? Derek Wilkinson, a supervisor at the Westgate, said. ?We discussed it further and ?The Legend? [Westgate sportsbook manager] Jeff Sherman, brought up the point that the public is going to hammer the Patriots no matter what, so we had to favor them.?
Sherman was right, as money continued to steam in on the Patriots even when the line flipped.
?We know the Rams are the more talented team, but no one likes betting against Belichick and Brady. Especially, after the game on Sunday,? Wilkinson continued. ?Sure enough, the public is all over New England. The line has been up less than a day and we already have a large five-figure liability on them as 90% of the tickets sold are on New England. We haven?t taken much Rams money at all yet and the line is up to Patriots -2.?
It will be interesting to see what happens if the line gets to -3, as that is a key number in betting. Will sharp bettors swoop in on the Rams if it continues to creep up?
?I think the current trend is going to continue unless we get above Patriots -3,? Wilkinson said. ?I also think we?ll get some wiseguy action once the Rams are getting 3 points. I do think the line is heading that direction, but probably won?t reach 3.5.?
TOTAL POINTS scored by Patriots 1st quarters in 8 superbowls THREE :mj07:
SOME PEOPLE SAYING NO WAY PATS LOSE TWO STRAIGHT SUPERBOWLS!
ummmmmmmmmmm love to wack those dummies in the head ...this is thier 1st time in this situation
VIKINGS lost two straight TWICE The Bills lost 4 straight
EVERY ONE said The Cowboys are too inexperinced to beat the Bills second year HC and QB and Team
wow what was that final score 52 - 13 or something
This is 1st super loser to get back to SB since 25 fugging years ago 1993
THE Bills will love it watching Brady fail again
:lol:
MANY i see betting Patriots ML well i'm laughing so hard here because every superbowl was won by way more than 2 points only 1 point win margin was 6 1/2 DOG Giants over Bills 20-19
Look at Packers - 2 1/2 Vs steelers a 6 point win
Patriots -3 vs falcons a 6 point win
-1 point Patriots Seahawks 4 point margin
in short if you bet the ML in this one your losing more money lay the 2.5 or take rams ML a paltry +125
I'll add more stuff here later as in my systems for handicapping superbowls right now patriots fail guranteed
