here's a play that NO ONE will like . . .

[loophole]

akron +22-: this is as ugly as betting real money gets (i know, i know, i have a morbid fascination with these games) but hear me out. the state of florida is chuck "the chest" amato country. chucky lives on after his fsu and nc state days heading up akron's defense. after spending close to two decades in tallahassee, he is the guru dude of recruiting in the sunshine state. so much so that, in the few years he has been in akron, he has populated their roster with 29 players from florida. that's about a third of the team. that is precisely the kind of intangible motivation that i like when playing bowl games. while most of fau's roster is from florida also, their family and friends see them play all the time. besides, after going 10-3, how jacked up do you think fau's squad is to be playing their bowl game at home? against akron? coach kiffin has to be feeling pretty smug and complacent himself after inking a new 10 year deal this week. it's a scary bet, as fau is a big play rushing team, and at times this year akron has looked like they couldn't stop me and 10 of my friends from running all over them (nice work chuck). but i have to believe that's accounted for in the line, and of course we're all looking for things that aren't. i haven't put this bet in yet assuming we'll get a better number closer to game time. god help you if you follow this one.


glta

 

[Chadman]

Great angle... thanks for the info. I've seen some good cappers that think this line is too big for different reasons. But yes, it's sa scary play.

Sent from my SM-J327V using Tapatalk

 

[#cruncher]

akron +22-: this is as ugly as betting real money gets (i know, i know, i have a morbid fascination with these games) but hear me out. the state of florida is chuck "the chest" amato country. chucky lives on after his fsu and nc state days heading up akron's defense. after spending close to two decades in tallahassee, he is the guru dude of recruiting in the sunshine state. so much so that, in the few years he has been in akron, he has populated their roster with 29 players from florida. that's about a third of the team. that is precisely the kind of intangible motivation that i like when playing bowl games. while most of fau's roster is from florida also, their family and friends see them play all the time. besides, after going 10-3, how jacked up do you think fau's squad is to be playing their bowl game at home? against akron? coach kiffin has to be feeling pretty smug and complacent himself after inking a new 10 year deal this week. it's a scary bet, as fau is a big play rushing team, and at times this year akron has looked like they couldn't stop me and 10 of my friends from running all over them (nice work chuck). but i have to believe that's accounted for in the line, and of course we're all looking for things that aren't. i haven't put this bet in yet assuming we'll get a better number closer to game time. god help you if you follow this one.


glta

I think the line has actually come down from 23.5 back down to 22.5, so somebody else may be liking them also. I'm not playing the game but took them in my son's pool, was thinking kind of like you. No telling what Kiffin will do, would like to hear what 3 putt has to say about Akron.

 

[JustFootball]

fwiw, I took akron earlier today. not sure what fau's record is against the spread this season, but i recall the weird safety/bad beat in the marshall game and i believe something weird happened in their final game that cost a spread (receiver or db dropped ball before crossing goal line?).

don't see anything about kiffen that makes me believe he likes to keep foot on accelerator. again, if memory serves me, they dominated first half of last game and then seemed to sleep walk in 2H.

factor in playing at home, for a bowl game, against lowly akron, and I like a sort of "overdog" bet. took akron and the over. if akron scores 21, I'm good. not sure if they will, but if fau steamrolls, I'm still covered with the over.
nothing big, just regular plays for me--action--which i know is asking for trouble. but hey, it's like egg nog for the holidays. I don't do it all the time, so a little now won't hurt me. :00hour

 

[shawn555]

fwiw, I took akron earlier today. not sure what fau's record is against the spread this season, but i recall the weird safety/bad beat in the marshall game and i believe something weird happened in their final game that cost a spread (receiver or db dropped ball before crossing goal line?).

don't see anything about kiffen that makes me believe he likes to keep foot on accelerator. again, if memory serves me, they dominated first half of last game and then seemed to sleep walk in 2H.

factor in playing at home, for a bowl game, against lowly akron, and I like a sort of "overdog" bet. took akron and the over. if akron scores 21, I'm good. not sure if they will, but if fau steamrolls, I'm still covered with the over.
nothing big, just regular plays for me--action--which i know is asking for trouble. but hey, it's like egg nog for the holidays. I don't do it all the time, so a little now won't hurt me. :00hour

Both teams are 9-4 ATS.

I like Akron here as well. Loop nailed it about how much FAU is motivated for this.

I also have Bowden 8-1 ATS as dog of 17 or more off a loss.

Also have conference championship loser as a double digit dog 5-0 L5