Iowa at Penn St.- TOP PLAY Think Penn St. finally gets that meaningful win here as sources tell us Paterno has put incredible emphasis on this game after 4 straight losses to the Hawkeyes. Nittany Lions welcome back star offensive athlete Robinson here, who has missed 3 straight. Kudos to Iowa mentor Ferentz, one of the best in the business for holding this team together through injuries, but the walking wounded keeps adding up for Hawkeyes who are down to their 5th string RB, as well as deep into the depth chart at other positions. Penn St enjoys +1.2 net rushing edge and their secondary should be able to check Iowa?s newfound downfield passing game. Paterno one of the best with time to prepare (his bowl record attests to that), and we?ll back him off of the bye week, against a team who may have shot all of their bullets last week.
Northwestern at Wisconsin- Double revenge for the Badgers, and don?t normally like to make a habit of going against the best defensive line in college football. But they are a little banged up at that position, and Northwestern does have the offensive weapons (438 ypg) to make this Wisconsin team score some points. Cats are 7-2$ after a bye, and 6-1 last 7 in this series. Wisky 4-14 as a double digit favorite, and have Minny revenger on deck off of two revenge wins. Tough spot.
Texas at Texas Tech- Multiple home dog revenge angles on this one, but now the line has gone to pick ?em. Hard not to back a team averaging 70 ppg on this field a field where they are 26-5 SU the last 5 years. Red Raiders playing 125 ypg better defense than last year and offense as explosive as ever. Mack Brown now 3-17 ATS away vs. winning teams. Possible under as well with two pretty good statistical D?s and a total of 60.
BC at Notre Dame- We don?t see much difference between these teams and will gladly take the generous spot with the underdog who has won three straight in the series. BC has a 1.0 net rushing advantage in this one and the loss at Pitt has created some real line value. In that loss, BC self destructed in a way Coach O?Brien?s teams seldom do. We expect their best effort today, as the Eagles are a gaudy 27-6 $ as non-conference road dogs. Notre Dame greatly improved, but 2-9 last 11 as favorites off SU/ATS win.
Indiana at Ohio St.- Homecoming for the Buckeys, who desperately need a win to get back on track after 3 SU Losses. The Buckeys have outscored IU 355-101 the last 10 meetings and would have failed to cover today?s number only twice in that span. Hoosiers 461ypg, 5.1 ypr defense should be a breath of fresh air for the Buckeyes who have faced NC St., Wisconsin, and Iowa stop units in 3 of the last 4. There is definitely some line value here after the 3 losses and Tressel is very, mad right now.
Oregon at Stanford- The Ducks have a 66ypg better offense and a 40 ypg better defense in this one. They also just hung 70 on two defenses AT LEAST as good as this one. Stanford getting some lucky bounces lately, and have been at least a touchdown dog the last 3 years in this series. Don?t see why they are favored here, but will gladly take the points as Oregon 15-5$ their last 20 as underdogs.
Northwestern at Wisconsin- Double revenge for the Badgers, and don?t normally like to make a habit of going against the best defensive line in college football. But they are a little banged up at that position, and Northwestern does have the offensive weapons (438 ypg) to make this Wisconsin team score some points. Cats are 7-2$ after a bye, and 6-1 last 7 in this series. Wisky 4-14 as a double digit favorite, and have Minny revenger on deck off of two revenge wins. Tough spot.
Texas at Texas Tech- Multiple home dog revenge angles on this one, but now the line has gone to pick ?em. Hard not to back a team averaging 70 ppg on this field a field where they are 26-5 SU the last 5 years. Red Raiders playing 125 ypg better defense than last year and offense as explosive as ever. Mack Brown now 3-17 ATS away vs. winning teams. Possible under as well with two pretty good statistical D?s and a total of 60.
BC at Notre Dame- We don?t see much difference between these teams and will gladly take the generous spot with the underdog who has won three straight in the series. BC has a 1.0 net rushing advantage in this one and the loss at Pitt has created some real line value. In that loss, BC self destructed in a way Coach O?Brien?s teams seldom do. We expect their best effort today, as the Eagles are a gaudy 27-6 $ as non-conference road dogs. Notre Dame greatly improved, but 2-9 last 11 as favorites off SU/ATS win.
Indiana at Ohio St.- Homecoming for the Buckeys, who desperately need a win to get back on track after 3 SU Losses. The Buckeys have outscored IU 355-101 the last 10 meetings and would have failed to cover today?s number only twice in that span. Hoosiers 461ypg, 5.1 ypr defense should be a breath of fresh air for the Buckeyes who have faced NC St., Wisconsin, and Iowa stop units in 3 of the last 4. There is definitely some line value here after the 3 losses and Tressel is very, mad right now.
Oregon at Stanford- The Ducks have a 66ypg better offense and a 40 ypg better defense in this one. They also just hung 70 on two defenses AT LEAST as good as this one. Stanford getting some lucky bounces lately, and have been at least a touchdown dog the last 3 years in this series. Don?t see why they are favored here, but will gladly take the points as Oregon 15-5$ their last 20 as underdogs.
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