Hilton Contest Consensus

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PleasureGlutton
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Jan 21, 2000
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Hilton Consensus last week fared pretty poorly. I don't know if I'd recommend fading it or not; personally I think they just had a bad week, but who knows....

Here are the results of the Hilton Contest Consensus for this week:

Most picked teams:
1. Buffalo +3 ... 80
2. Baltimore +2? ... 70
3. Cleveland +6? ... 65
4. Kansas City -3? ... 60
5. Atlanta -3? ... 56

Last week there were 8 teams in the Top 5 in this category due to ties... and they went 4-4 ATS.


Most lopsided games:
1. Buffalo +3 ... 77.7% (80-23)
2. Baltimore +2? ... 68.6% (70-32)
3. Cincinnati +10? ... 68.3% (43-20)
4. Cleveland +6? ... 64.4% (65-36)
5. Jacksonville -2? ... 62.8% (54-32)

Last week this category went a very poor 1-4 ATS. The percentages are lower than in recent weeks when 80% or more regularly would be on 2-3 sides. Philly +7, KC -3? and Washington +5? all just ~barely~ missed this list by less a percentage point.


Least picked teams:
1. NY Giants -5? ... 18
2. Pittsburgh -10? ... 20
3. NY Jets -3 ... 23
T4. Houston +5? ... 25
T4. San Francisco -7 ... 25

Last week the least-picked teams went 4-1 ATS! (Betting ON these teams would have made money, just to be clear). This week we've got both sides of one game in the Top 5 (NYG/Hou). So I was going to add to the list, but the next two teams on the list are Detroit and Chicago, who also play each other. :lol:


:hail We have a new leader! Last week's leader went 1-4 and dropped to 2nd place. The new leader, with 38 points and off a 5-0 week, is on:
Minnesota, Carolina, Arizona, Houston, Indianapolis.

Just for curiousity, the previous leader is on:
Detroit, Miami, Cleveland, Green Bay, Indianapolis.


The Top 5 players collectively are on: (Numbers in BOLD have no one from the Top 5 on the opposite side).
Atlanta ... 2
Carolina ... 2
Cleveland ... 2
Cincinnati ... 2
Green Bay ... 2
Kansas City ... 2
Indianapolis ... 2
Detroit ... 1
Minnesota ... 1
New England ... 1
Miami ... 1
Buffalo ... 1
Tampa Bay ... 1
Seattle ... 1
Arizona ... 1
Washington ... 1
Houston ... 1
Denver ... 1

(I used Top 5 players because there is a large tie for 6th-10th)


The last place guy continues to be dependable however, no matter what else happens. Off another 1-4 week to give him 16 points, and now FIVE full points behind second-last. :eek: This week he is on:
New England, Atlanta, Buffalo, Kansas City, Denver.

The top player and the bottom player are on the opposite side on 3 games (Minn/NE, Atl/Car & Ind/Den). :look:


The Bottom 6 players collectively are on: (Numbers in BOLD have no one from the Bottom 6 on the opposite side).
Buffalo ... 3
Tampa Bay ... 3
New England ... 2
Atlanta ... 2
Carolina ... 2
Seattle ... 2
Denver ... 2
Baltimore ... 1
Detroit ... 1
Jacksonville ... 1
Dallas ... 1
Miami ... 1
San Diego ... 1
NY Jets ... 1
Cincinnati ... 1
Green Bay ... 1
Kansas City ... 1
Oakland ... 1
Washington 1
Philadelphia ... 1
San Francisco ... 1

(Again, used Bottom 6 because of ties)
 
Last edited:

ferdville

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Dec 24, 1999
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Thanks for compiling this stuff. It is interesting. Since you seem to have a great handle on this, I have always heard that any team that has 75% or better consensus, it will hit at or around 60%. Have no idea whether this is true or not. Buffalo would be the only qualifier this week.
 

GM

PleasureGlutton
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Jan 21, 2000
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Hey guys,

Glad you find the info useful. I enjoy putting it together to see what turns up. I have no idea about the 75% thing, but I would guess there is some merit to it. Basically I think most of these guys are pretty sharp...but I find it really interesting when the leader or Top 5 have a pick that goes against what the general consensus is.

GM stands for girl magnet. ;)

Ha, I wish. Just my initials actually. I'm not a General Manager of anything, and I'm not a car salesman either. :)
 
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