HSF Degen, FCS and FBS Plays for 10/11-10/13

Riff-Raff

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Rec to Date:

HSF Plays: 27-29 (-13.4 units)
FCS Plays: 57-42-2 (+33.4 units)
FBS Plays: 39-40-1 (-53.9 units)

Yikes, where has this season gone. Before you know it HSF teams will be in playoffs.....Big game Friday Night here in CA as Mater Dei meets Bosco in what may decide the National Championship. I already grabbed Bosco +9' but will have write up closer to game time.

Thurs.
4 pm
Archer 47
Grayson pk

I think this season has been a bit of a letdown for the Grayson Rams that started the year in the Top 10 Nationally and #1 in Georgia 7A polls. Rams have underachieved considering the team has a pantry full of D1 recruits. 4-2 is not what HC C Hunnicutt had in mind and the doors started to fall off before a snap was taken as the team was under the microscope when 2/3rds of the roster walked off during early August citing concerns with practices being too hard in the heat which led to multiple ambulance rides for dehydration and body cramps. Further complaints by parents and athletes over broken bones in hands due to excessive hitting and full contact drills. Coaches came under fire for calling kids "soft" and players threatened to quit. A team meeting was called and evidently Coaches listened as HC Hunnicutt tried to spin the walk off as a misunderstanding.

I guess you have to bottle feed players these days as when I played College and HSF you wouldn't think of walking out and my Coaches love to torment with no water and full contact. We did alright. Grayson opened with a sound thrashing against Tucker 48-7 but fell the following week 34-22 against New Jersey #1 Bergen Catholic 34-22.....3 weeks later Rams lost to Colquitt County 26-14.......Last week the team handled Shiloh 59-3 so maybe this program has found its stride. It will know tomorrow night when it meets rival Archer Tigers.

Archer is 5-1 and is celebrating 10 years of HSF (have reached play-offs in last 5) and has already a Dynasty record of 62-33 (39-19 in league). The Tigers have been long recognized as a Defensive team and have pitched 2 shut-outs this year and with the exception of a opening loss to Milton (21-19) have wheeled off 5 straight.... RB Samaje Banks (5' 10" 200 lbs) leads the offense with 404 yards on 56 carries and has caught 11 passes out of the back field for 112 yards with a combined 8 TDs. JR QB Carter Peevy has started since his Frosh year.... *Last season he passed for 2,038 yards w/20 TDs and a 61.2% completion. The natural leader is the spark that has Tigers averaging almost 40 ppg...... The team relies on a ball control offense and a nasty D that has D1 talent sprinkled all over.

Archer ranks #35 in the Nation and #4 in the State..... Grayson is ranked #46 nationally and #6 in the State... Rams have 5 players ranked in the Top 150...On D the Rams are holding opponents to 19.33 ppg... 3 returning O-Line Men are heading to Power 5 teams... Sr QB J'Kori Jones is sharing time with Jr CJ Dixon (6'5" 220 lbs) (has offers from Alabama, Georgia and Ohio St).... *Evidently the best QB in school is a 4 Star recruit that has opted to play basketball instead of football....Rams best RB Ronald Thompkins (Nebraska) blew his ACL out after the first game this season *Sadly, the poor kid did the same last season after the 1st game.

These two collided last year in a black and blue, bone crunching slug out that ended with Archer winning 6-3...History says this game will decide the Region 8 7A Championship as in the last 7 seasons the Region Champ has been one of these 2 schools.... Between the two, they lost a total of 3 games last year......

Grayson holds a 6-2 advantage in the series but Archer won't be intimidated by the talent on Grayson and has their own D1 talents so I expect another low scoring tug-of-war...
I lean to Grayson to get a little payback but think the value is in the Under here.

2 units on Under 47 LOSS
Lean to the RamsLOSS
 
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Riff-Raff

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FBS Play:


Georgia Southern -17'.......5 units LOSS

___________

Some early FCS plays: *Getting these in early as line moves have been killing me. (-120)

Fri
HOLY CROSS/HARVARD Over 43.......4 units WIN

Sat.

Maine +8 over Rhode Island.... 4 units WIN

Colombia/Penn Over 51.....4 units LOSS

Wofford -7......3 units LOSS.. Really Wofford?

Villanova/J Madison Over 44'......4 units LOSS

Montana/No Dakota Over 49'...5 units WIN *Max Play

So Carolina St/Bethune-Cookman Under 44'...4 units LOSS

Murray St +3'....3 units WIN

Murray St/Tenn St Over 59....3 units WIN

Austin Peay/SoEast Missouri St Over 68'...4 units LOSS

Butler -6'......5 units *Max Play LOSS

Etsu +7.....4 units WIN

Miss Valley St/Jackson St Under 51'....3 units WIN

Miss Valley St +13'....3 units LOSS

Samford -18'.....4 units WIN

Alabama A&M/Alcorn St Over 44'.....5 units WIN *Max Play

So Illinois/Illinois St Over 50....5 units WIN *Max Play

Elon/Delaware Over 42......5 units WIN *Max Play

Stony Brook +7'.......4 units WIN *screwed me last week

Incarnate Word -8'......4 units LOSS

San Diego/Dayton Over 57'.....4 units WIN

Portland St pk..... 5 units WIN *Max Play

SoEastern LA -18......4 units

Morgan St +1......5 units WIN *Max Play

Southern +20'....3 units WIN

E Washington -4'....4 units

So Dakota +1'.....5 units *Max Play

Dang alot of plays
 
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Riff-Raff

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HSF Thurs.

7 pm
Hazen -7
Federal Way 51

These two are pretty close in the WA State Ranking for 4A, with Hazen #37 and FW #40..... Hazen is 4-2 and averaging 30.5 ppg.... Federal averages 29.9.....

Federal Way Eagles are under the tutelage of HC John Meagher who is in his 21st year as HC but has been with the program for 24 years.... Eagles at 5-2 have scored 209 points in 7 games while giving 118....the leader is Sr RB/LB Troy Davis (5'11" 185 lbs) (heading to USC) He's plays iron man both ways and is versatile to play LB but can slide to the secondary... Sr Alphonso Tuputala (6'3" 225 lbs) leads team in tackles and is the other featured RB (headed to UoW on full ride) but has 8 FBS offers ..... Federal Way is playing this season for fallen lineman, Allen Harris that died while running wind sprints in late July... The Eagles have dedicated their season to him.

Hazen Highlanders are 4-2 and have scored 183 points thus far while allowing 109....Last year, Hazen were the 4A NPSL Cascade Runners-up... The Oline is anchored by Sr OL/DL (6'0" 260 lbs) Vance Dumas, who is the NPSL Cascade Div reigning Defensive Lineman of the Year, he's an immovable Nose guard and is pure strength....... Sr WR/DB (6'0" 180 lbs) Corbin Walker was last year's 4A NPSL Cascade All-Purpose Player of the Year... This season he has 43 tackles w/2 INT and has 870 receiving yards w/8 TDs (he has 4 FCS offers)...... The team runs a spread attack.

Highlanders are seeking their 1st state play-off berth since 2012.... The 4-2 start is a good beginning but Federal Way had 6 consecutive post season trips come to a halt last year... I have to respect a team that is playing for a fallen comrade and getting 7 when Federal could win this would be the play.... Both teams played Kentlake with Federal winning 37-14 and Hazen winning 27-6....

2 units on Federal Way +7 LOSS 30-19 final
2 units on the Under 51WIN
 
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Riff-Raff

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Friday Gridiron-

Some quality games coming tonight in CO, MD and CA..

4 pm
MT Lebanon 53'
Pine-Richland -34'

6-1 Pine-Richland Rams should have an easy time with the Mt Lebanon Blue Devils on Friday. Pine-Richland had their perfect record from 2017 when team ran the table at 16-0 and captured their lone State Title. Despite losing 24 Seniors from that squad, the Rams opened the year at #1 in the State and Div 6A...... Soph QB Cole Spencer has the reigns given to him as he replaced QB Phil Jurkovec that obliterated the record book in a prolific campaign. The young dual threat Spencer (6'0" 180 lbs) hasn't needed to get flashy (has 860 pass yards and 350 rushing yards w/7 TDs).... He plays behind a line best described as behemoths with OT Andrew Kristofic (6'6" 275 lbs) going to Notre Dame is one of 3 starters back on the OL... RG Michael Katic (6'3" 285 lbs) going to Indiana, and C Mike Dorundo II (6'2" 260 lbs) headed to Tenn..... RB Luke "Cool Hand" Meckler (5'10" 175 lbs) has 582 yards w/12 TDs this year (has 405 yards w/7 TDs in last 2 games).... As a team, the Rams rush for 220.3 ypg and are averaging 47.2 ppg while only allowing 13.1 ppg....

Blue Devils from Mt Lebanon are 3-4 and had high expectations with 8 Off starters back and 8 Def Starters... Sr QB Seth Morgan (6'3" 180 lbs) is a dangerous dual threat with 1,235 pass yards and has rushed for 403 yards... His main problem is that he has tossed 11 INTs.... As a team, they rush for 151.1 ypg while passing for 184 pass yards per game.... The Off averages 29.8 ppg while allowing 27.6 ppg..... The team has a good O-Line and is led by OL/DL Jr JB Nelson (6'5" 265 lbs)........ HC Mike Melnyk is an offensive guru but was disappointed with the Defense last year that surrendered 34 ppg in the last 3 so he has moved into the position.....

In last years contest Pine-Richland won 53-29....The Rams lost their opener to the IMG Academy out of Florida that was vying for the mythical National Championship until it ran into Mater Dei... Since that loss Rams have outscored opponents 278-49 (averaging 46.3 ppg) while posting 2 shut-outs....

Since 2013, HC Eric Kasperowicz Rams are 53-13 (85% winning PCT) and this is done playing in the states largest football classification and the toughest conference.... Rams should have little trouble here however, 34' points is too much respect.

2 units on Mt Lebanon +34' WIN
2 units on the Over 53' WIN *Looks to be the stronger play as I think Rams score 40+ which means we don't need much from the Blue Devils.
 
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Riff-Raff

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4 pm
Our Lady of Good Counsel 60'
St Johns -14

This one has the makings of a great game... St Johns at 6-0 has played a bear of a schedule and played in a 5 OT game against Central (Florida powerhouse) winning 37-34....Cadets also spanked Alabama power Hoover 42-14....topped Marietta, GA 21-14.....The program is on a 13 game win streak and plays in arguably the Nation's 2nd toughest conference (Gonzaga, Good Counsel, Dematha) are all top notch competition.... As could be expected, the team has several Power 5 recruits on the roster... A JV program that went 8-0 fed the Varsity that had 8 Offensive Starters and 7 Defensive Starters return.... The Cadets have 3 RBs that all have D1 offers... Leading the group is Sr RB Keilan Robinson (5'10" 185 lbs) heading to Alabama...Jr QB Sol-Jay Maina (6'0" 180 lbs) is a transfer from Island power Kahuku and is a top athlete in the 2020 class.... 5 Star DE Mekhail Sherman (6'3" 235 lbs) is the #2 rated Defender in the Class of 2020....This team is stacked and if they are going to get upset it better be this year as the team has alot of young talent returning.

Our Lady of Good Counsel Falcons (yes, it's a mouthful) took down nemesis Gonzaga last week 38-31 and made a dramatic 4th quarter comeback to capture the win... The 5-1 Falcons lost to St Joseph's Prep 34-27 in week 3....The team has offensive depth with 10 returning starters from last year... 7 Defensive Starters returned also.... The offense has been humming along averaging 46.8 ppg..... Last week in handing Gonzaga its first loss RB Sylveon Wilkerson had 262 yards rushing w/2 TDs.... The team is loaded with D1 talent also.

The winner should should be the favorite to win the WCAC regular season title... It's been a few years since Falcons have beat the Cadets and lost last year 31-9....While I certainly respect the offensive firepower both teams bring to the table, I think 60 is a bit high in what could be a Defensive struggle like last year.... If OLoGC is going to get St Johns they better do it this year...

2 units on the Under 60'. WIN
2 units on Our Lady of Good Counsel +14 LOSS
 
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Riff-Raff

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6 pm
Cherry Creek -3
Eaglecrest 67

Sr QB Alex Padilla (6'2" 190) has 1,097 pass yards w/16 TDs only 1 INT (averaging 182.8 ypg passing.... The Senior leader is going to Iowa.... His favorite target is Sr WR M Miller (5'9" 160 lbs) with 494 receiving yards w/6 TDs (averages 15 yards per catch) followed by Super Soph Chase Penrv (6'2" 185 lbs) with 302 receiving yards and 4 TDs.....Despite graduating 34 Seniors from a 9-3 team, this one is looking good and has D1 talent on both sides of the ball....

Eaglecrest Raptors are also perfect at 7-0 but for the life of me I don't see how with the adversity this team has faced this year.... After the first game a 49-35 win against Highlands Ranch, HC Dustin Delaney resigned citing faulty equipment and poor field conditions that he couldn't justify putting his athletes out on the field...... One would think that this program has made huge strides and it has as last week the Principal and AD of the school were placed on Administrative leave for allowing an ineligible player to suit up for 4 games last year and not saying a word about it....I have to give these kids credit to keep winning and drowning out the noise by being focused.... Sr QB Dylan James (5'8" 185 lbs) has passed for 658 yards w/4 TDs and has rushed for 1,226 yards w/7 TDs which puts him #3 in total yards in the state... Soph WR Ty Robinson (6'3") has 334 receiving yards w/3 TDs on 17 catches.... The Raptors have scored a combined 320 points while only allowing 147... Raptors captured the league title last year.

The odds makers think this is going to be a shoot out and they might be right but I think Cherry Creek can shut down Raptors dual threat D James and I like them to get the cover here.

2 units on Cherry Creek -3LOSS
1 unit on the Under 67 WIN

*Back with my Bosco play later today
 
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FIREBALL

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Let's get em Riff. What does FCS and FBS stand for and what's the difference between them again?
 

Subcloser

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EagleCrest won last year 26-7...any thoughts on that score or how it might relate to this year?

I just felt the total might be a bit high compared to recent years
 

Riff-Raff

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Let's get em Riff. What does FCS and FBS stand for and what's the difference between them again?

Fireball -
FBS is the Football Bowl Subdivision and FCS is Football Championship Subdivision. The main difference between the two is FBS schools are allotted 85 scholarships while the smaller FCS schools get 63 (I think) but if memory serves they can actually break the scholarships up between 85 players.

FBS Schools are Bowl eligible while FCS play in a playoff format...... FBS are all D1-A while FCS is 1-AA...

I like to think of it as FBS schools only cost (-110) while FCS cost (-120) at the window x15: so a little tougher to turn a profit, however this year I'm doing alright with the FCS schools (with help from Musca)
 

Riff-Raff

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EagleCrest won last year 26-7...any thoughts on that score or how it might relate to this year?

I just felt the total might be a bit high compared to recent years

I put a shekel on the Under.... Your right that total is a bit high. My hat is off to Eaglecrest with all the uphill adversity it has faced. I played Cherry Creek because I think they have the better D but I could be wrong, although Hawkeye likes em too
 

Musca

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Not sure if you noticed...

Not sure if you noticed...

But the FCS lines move to -110 on Saturdays... Obviously this is after line movement but...

Not in love with lines this week. I am fascinated by a few things.

PLayed
Nova +25.5 and +1300
URI -3 (This line long gone)
UC Davis -3: I think Idaho State is not this good and I think UC DAvis is much better.
Missouri State over 61.5
Missouri State -7
APSU Over 68.5


I have a few others I am still working on. Really Fascinated with Old Dominion + and Moneyline. I am also seeing insane bet percentages on the Ohio State game but it is all retail action so it is not actionabale IMHO unless to fade...

I am so stoked for the Mater Dei vs Bosco game tonight. Should be one hellacious game. Mater Dei is battle tested with the game vs IMG a few weeks ago. 10 is a lot... Until it is not. LOL.
 

Riff-Raff

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7:30 pm

Bosco 65
Mater Dei -10

I put a couple of more units on Bosco +10....Really no need to write this one up.. I had the luxury of seeing both teams play this year and think both teams could give some Juco programs trouble.

Mater Dei is led by 5 star QB Bryce Young who has passed for 1,738 yards w/21 TDs...... His main target is Sr WR Bru McCoy, has 35 catches for 678 yards w/9 TDs (also plays D where leads team with 5 sacks)......

Bosco's QB DJ Uigalelei has passed for 1,563 yards w/23 TDs... RB George Holani has 517 yards w/10 TDs through 5 games... The player that could turn the tide is kick returner Kris Hutson (USC bound) he had 2 kick returns for TDs and caught 2 more against Orange Lutheran....

These two are ranked #1 and #2 in the Super 25 poll and every other poll in the US.... The game is being billed as the "Prep Super Bowl" and features over 40 players with Div 1 scholarships combined between the two..... Mater Dei won twice last year (31-21 in Trinity League play) and 49-24 in the CIF-SS playoffs..... These two will more than likely face off again in the playoffs.....

In case your wondering, the schools are only about 1/2 hour from each other... MaxPreps is calling this game "one of the most star studded" HSF games ever.... USA Today bills it "biggest prep football Duel in a millennium...... Mater Dei has certainly proved itself by beating Football Academy IMG (had the 7th longest win streak in the nation) and alot of opinions have Mater Dei winning this game.

I'm taking the points +10 because QB DJ Uiagalelei played in this game last year and brought Bosco within 10 points in the Trinity League matchup.... Mater Dei last year was lead by USC QB JT Daniels, and the kid had a pulse for making that offense work...... Not to say Bryce Young (is USC bound also) is a slouch but think Bosco gets some retribution tonight....

Should be a great game..... The total at 65 is probably where it should be.... Don't forget that both teams have D1 players on Defense too..... Some might point to Orange Lutheran putting up 28 on the Braves and J Serra also scoring 28.....but both those teams would beat most high school football programs and when your offense is putting up 63 then your Defense might get a little winded.

2 units on Bosco +10
2 units on the Over 65 *For shits and giggles
 
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