Had colts +1.5 but from a strategy standpoint that was an asinine call.
What's his goal....to complete that 5 yard pass, get a first down at your own 47 and run and spike the ball leaving you with 15-18 seconds left or burn your last timeout and have 25- 26 seconds left??
You still need 15-20 more yards in 1-3 plays
And the downside is if you miss you will very likely lose.
This wasn't game 15-16 where a tie eliminates you, its week 4.