I just don't understand the logic.

ryanmcgwyer

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Jan 6, 2004
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There were a lot of great cappers on the fins and I just can't figure it out. Fade the public? Reverse line movement? I see a winless team off a bye, granted, who has a new qb. Must win for the jets and it's at the jets. I know highensight is 20/20 I just don't get it. Joe public has to be right sometime doesn't he? I like taking the dog if there a decent dog but tonights game was a poodle against a Doberman.
 

CincyKid

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can understand the logic miami has owned them last couple yrs and coming off a bye,but the first few times down maimi should have been up at least 13-0the no call on revis that ended up being a 100yd td that changed momentum and also marshall going out of bounds instead of scoring or even the drop by marshall on that same drive.
 

Iminforabuck

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Jan 9, 2003
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Tonight and last night just wasn't the night for Vegas. It happens sometimes, and it definitely happens when there's a rookie QB under center who doesn't fucking understand how to throw the ball away when he's being chased and instead takes sacks for 7 yard losses.

Anyway, it didn't cash tonight. It will more times than not. Have a good one.
 

zealot

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Dec 1, 2010
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I use the same system week in and week out. I fade the public when there is reverse line movement with opposite heavy %'s. However, there are some games where I use my gut instead of numbers and tonight was one of those games. I continue to look at situational football games. Sometimes the public is right. I saw it the same way you saw it: Poodle vs. Pitbull. Point is that I will make my plays regardless of what many of the good handicappers say that I respect here on MadJacks. I do enjoy coming here and seeing great cappers on the same pick I'm on but I would never change my pick based on someone being on the other side.

I had NY and the under so it worked out.
 

Statman02

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Nobody throws passes at Revis......this guy must have thrown about ten his way.......something is wrong with that coach......no wonder they lose every game
 

ryanmcgwyer

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I understand trends and the fact that Miami has won 4 of the last 5 or whatever but when there is a substantial injury, qb, center, I think those trends do out the door. Looking back at Lsu v tenn over the weekend. Tenn in the head to head series has a big advantage but is without it's starting qb and wr. I just couldn't make myself bet on a winless team on the road with a rookie qb. I will admit its tough to pull the trigger when I see solid veteran cappers on the other side.

I had jets and under. Teased it down and played the 2nd half under and jets large.
 

Emersonboozer

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There are no hard fast rules whereas it comes to sports gambling. No trend or capping strategy is perfect and if it was everyone would be winning. Its best to use those tools but also use your gut and pick your spots. Hope my 2 cents helps. :0008
 

tarheelblue777

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Matt Moore isn't a rookie either, btw. First start on a new team, however, and the Dolphins are flat out not a good team. 3 takeaways in 5 games? That is never going to get it done in the NFL. Jets were the clear play last night.
 
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