IC: (65%)-5 Months -Jan 25th Top Plays

indiancowboy

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Dec 17, 2006
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First Post here and the forum looks pretty cool as I was invited to post here and thought it would be fun to do so. Have many friends that told me about Mad Jacks so I came and checked it out and it's looks great.

I'm a med student that loves sports and handicapps in my sparetime to give the winnings to charity at the local clinic here.

I'm a regular on other forums.

I'm sure some others will vounce for these previous posted plays elsewhere (2 other forums):

Tuesday:
Va Tech (3 units) - W
SD State (1 unit) - W
Northern Iowa (1 unit) - W

Monday:
Santa Clara (1 unit) - W
Golden State (1 unit) - W

Records:

Tuesday - (3-0)
Virginia Tech - (Winner)(Winner)(Winner) = 3 Units
San Diego State - (Winner)
Northern Iowa - (Winner)


Monday - (2-0)
Santa Clara - Winner
Golden State -Winner

Records:

(61%)SEP = 6 Units (Goal 5.5)=0.5 Banked for rainy month. = $1500 Profit
(64%)OCT = 7 Units(Goal 5.5) = 1.5 Banked for rainy month. = $1750 Profit
(64%)NOV =7 Units(Goal 5.5) = 1.5 Banked for rainy month. = $1750 Profit
(74%)DEC =16 Units(Goal 5.5 Units) = 10.5 Banked for rainy month = $4000 Profit

Total Proift Thus Far: $8500 in 4 Months.
+14 Units Banked for Rainy Month

This Month: 20-13 Units (5 mooses - :com: )
For the Year: +$8500 (On 5th Month)

Month Ends: February 9th (17 Days to Go)
Goal: 60% or +$1250.
Rainy Month Unit Fund: +14 Units Ahead of Yearly Pace.

Current: 4 Months of Profit = 36 Units.
Goal: 12 Months = 66 Units

GOAL EACH MONTH: $1250 Profit.
1 Unit = To Win $250 - All Profit after Juice

Bet With No Fear when you've done your homework.

My philosophy: Attempt to take Dogs that can win outright such as yesterday - va tech w/exception.


Today, 2 dogs that I think that can win outright and 1 dog that is just way to underrated with a line inflation.


1) Tulsa +19.5 (1 unit) (This will go down)


No, Tulsa is not going to win this outright. However, nearly 20 points for a team that is in the top 140 in the nation is a gift if you ask me. Hell, this should be a 2 unit play but isn't simply b/c it is Memphis and I never know which Memphis will show up.

However, I have Tulsa losing by 14 points, which considering is a 5.5 point differential it is tough to pass up. Plus, no need for a 3 unit play today considering I am up 7 units on the month so I'll just chip away at the man for as everything is just addendum in profits, plus Douglas-Roberts is listed as probable upon his return so that's another 15 points a game back to this already stacked team of the Tigers. This is why you should not blindly follow the power rankings or spreadsheet and take everything into account.

Tulsa is not a bad team folks. They are top 140 as I mentioned and they lost by 9 to Arkansas a top 50 team, although Memphis is a top 20 team, lost to Oklahoma by 10 points on neutral ground as Ok is a top 90 team and had the capacity to beat Oral Roberts a top 100 team at home.

Last year, Memphis was a 24.5 point favorite and ended up winning by 11 points and now the oddsmakers seem to have caught on that mistake and adjusted the line 5 points, which is very significant.

However, Tulsa is still undervalued here and Memphis is still overvalued. But Memphis has another tilt coming up against Southern Miss and they might be looking ahead to that just a bit as Southern Miss nearly beat them at home - despite what the score says, hell, they led at portions of the 2nd half - however, it's just hard for me to pass up the 5.5 point differential and I'm hoping for an Ole Miss type of ball game in which they don't lose by 12, but will lose by 16.

This is still a conference game for Tulsa and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games, 7-3 ATS of their last 10 and 7-1 ATS against a team with a winning percentage of .600% or higher - which means they get up for the bigger games it seems.

83-67 Memphis (16 point win)

2) St. Bonny +13 (1 unit) (Waiting to see a 13.5)

Lol - Back on the Bunnies! I think St. Bonny is going to surprise a lot of people today. I've looked at their rankings of late including their last 5 ball games power rankings and they are playing some solid basketball.

Case in point:

Although St. Bonny is a horrid top 300 team in the power rankings, they have a home court play of roughly in lower 200's given their recent wins against La Salle a 14 point win for them. This team also lost by just 11 points to Rhode Island on the road who is a top 200 team and I had this team on the radar that if they did that, that I will ride them today in a double-digit line.

In essence, just because you don't bet on a game that doesn't mean you don't keep up with all that goes on in the basketball world as it is like a web of kinds, you see how the strings are pulled in wins, losses, revenges, mooses and what not now, and it simply sets it up as the approach for the birdie later in the hole - I hope I made some sense in that last paragraph.

In essence, I have about 8 horrible teams considered by the public that are playing 50 points higher at all times so that when I see an opportunity to catch them as a home dog, I do it - like today.

Remember, this team lost to George Washington on the road by 17 points, if you remember, I was on that game by a line of +18.5 and now this team is dogged by 12.5 at home to a Xavier team that lost to St. Louis on the road by 11 points, yet our bunnies beat them at home by 5 points - a top 100 team.

This team beat a top 100 team at home, that shows a lot of character to me. Furthermore, home underdogs get some kind calls at home, with their fans jeering for the conference upset, the possibility of a sound backdoor cover and the fact that Xavier is not a sound road team with regards to scoring - around low 60's to high 60's per ball game.

St. Bonny is not a team that lights up the scoreboard, but it is their gym and they are familiar with their respective surroundings and the fact that Xavier beat them by 28 last year in a thumping, I think the Bunnies stop reproducing and take out their sexual frustration on Xavier tonight.

Xavier is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, the Bunnies are 4-0-1 as a home underdog and ready for this stat:

The Bunnies are 12-1-1 in their last 14 games as an underdog - no kidding right. I almost made this a 2 unit wager, but no need to today.

3) Baylor +10 (1 unit) (This will go down)

Baylor got embarrassed in their last game by 40 points. If this team has any heart they come back strong today. Hell, they did beat Texas Tech at their home floor and the Red-Raiders beat Kansas.

The Jayhawks are 3-8 ATS as favorites of late.

Baylor is 9-4 ATS as a home underdog.

I'll take the home pup with the crowd going nuts today at Baylor as Baylor has a decent squad this year and I like fading 2/3rds of the public too as the line is going down which is another indicator of a sound home pup play.

APOLOGIES, Looks like my computer glitched and I posted twice - :com: :SIB
 
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ESPNTED

ESPNTED
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Dec 10, 2006
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Welcome to the Forum! Always need help on plays to kick the man ass!

Good write up on the games. Will tail you on them.

GL
 

vinnie

la vita ? buona
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Sep 11, 2000
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