After getting Moosed the other day, it was enjoyable to get an easy win with San Diego State. Can't wait for today and I'll have the play up by 2pm and answer the questions as well. Finishing up running some numbers and finalizing the red card. In fact the 2 honorable mentions hit as well with Missouri - should have figured they would rout Iowa State and Nebraska coming off 2 impressive road wins now.
FEBRUARY 7TH TOP PLAYS:
Honorable mentions include Mississippi State, St. Louis and Georgetown.
The above 3 were my #4-#6 plays for the day.
Here are my top 3 that I am riding as it seems to be a juicy card on tap for tonight.
KANSAS STATE +10.5 will wait to see if line rises, please let me know if it does - hoping for 11 - 2 Units.
I know I am fighting with fire on this play as Kansas State but I have my reasonings and the backing and I will try to show you why. The reason I am fighting with fire is that Kansas comes off a loss and we remember what happened last time that happened as they pounded Baylor on the road.
Well, this is no Baylor as Kansas State despit one of their key players going down in January has even played better and they could be catching 11 if I wait for this line to rise.
This game is a rivalry and I don't see these K-State players losing by double-digits.
Look at the similar games these guys have played and you'll see why. Do you know Kansas State is a top 40 team and has won their last 7 ballgames in a row?
This team goes on the road to beat Missouri - when Missouri began playing well at that time as that team finally has a road backbone, then this team beats Baylor by 9, not imrpessive but Baylor but then they go on the road to beat Iowa State by 10 - a game that Kansas won by just 4 in overtime, then they pound a top 200 Chicago team with great defense by 37, beat a very good Nebraska team that I pointed to yesterday by 16, and the hell, they beat Missouri again by 7 at home! and defeated the Lonhorns by 1 on the road. Wow.
If that doesn't get some respect I don't know what will.
Am I worried about Kansas off a loss - sure. However, you saw when Missouri and Kansas played that Kansas almost lost at home to Mizzou and Kansas has looked human of late against teams that are good -like A&M for example.
I think Kansas State loses by 4-6 points in my book in a hard faught, great defensive ball-game.
Wildcats have covered their last 6 ballgames and are 5-1 ATS when facing a spread of 7 to 12.5 which is what they face today. A stat that I really like, Kansas is just 1-8 ATS when facing a team with a winning record at home - which means they don't cover big spreads at home against the better teams - i.e. when they failed to cover against A&M and even USC earlier in the season.
WRIGHT STATE -1.5 2 Units
This is a straight up power play on my end.
Wright State is 11-1 when facing teams that are ranked between the regions of 100-200 in my book.
How do I ignore that? This is why I chose this game over St. Louis and the only reason why is Xavier's revenge factor and they are dominant at home - after all, I was going to ride the Dukes regardless today - lol.
This line opened up at +3 and has been going down all damn day and I just don't get it.
Maybe the public assumes after a 14 point win, this Illinois team gets revenge - but I don't think so.
Wright State are winners of 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. I look at line movements too but I think this is b.s.
Wright State - a top 100 team in my book and who has been playing of top 50 caliber of lately - yes, top 50, went on the road to beat top 130 Loyola Chicago by 120, beat top 150 Wisconsin Green Bay by 11 on the road and beat top 170 Detroit by 7 on the road.
Now, they play a top 195 Illinois-Chicago team on the road who lost to Wisconsin-Green Bay by 20 on the road (31 point differential when compared to Wright State), lost to top 275 Cleveland State at home by 5 and are currently mired in a 6 game losing streak.
Why are they getting this much respect today, is beyond me but I guess I could see them rising up, but they are playing at a top 225 level of late.
As far as the revenge factor for Illinois - I just can't buy it b/c Wright State beat a better by 11 at home, and the beat them by 11 on the road. They beat a better Loyola-Chicago team by 20+ at home, and then beat them by 12 on the road.
Unless the refs help out Illinois-Chicago a lot, I see Wright State winning by 6-7 points.
DUQUESNE +3.5: 2 Units.
I don't see this line rising more but I would love to take it at +4 if I can but don't think it will happen.
With their new style of offense, which comprises of just shooting the lights out of the ball for over a 100 points and having a new set of fresh legs of 3 point ballers rolling in, the Dukes can play.
The Dukes are one of the fastest growing teams in the country as far as power-rankings are concerned and they are now top 175 in the nation in my book.
Results of late for the Dukes:
They beat a top 100 Dayton team at home by 3, they beat a top 150 team in Temple by 4 at home, they beat a top 50 team in Xavier at home by 2 and then they go on the road to rip the bonnies a new one to show their style of play does work on the road and beat them by nearly 20 without stopping the scoring attack.
93, 96, 93 and 111 points respectively. Hell, they would score 200 if you'd let 'em I think - lol.
La Salle is a top 270 team that has lost their last 5 of 6 ballgames with a sole win against one of the worst pr teams in the nation in Richmond.
This team lost to Temple by 25 on the road and lost to Fordham at home recently. I don't think the public realizes the Dukes potential and just sees their record which is what the oddsmakers want I assume.
Hell, this team lost by 14 to St. Bonny's on the road (33 point differential to the Dukes). Just think this is 2 teams headed in different directions and I just like the Dukes having the revenge factor as they lost to this team by 13 on the road earlier in the year.
The Dukes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games - yes, 9-1 and La Salle is -7 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
This is what I have fellas, apologize for the delay, just a busy day.
Take care,
IC
FEBRUARY 7TH TOP PLAYS:
Honorable mentions include Mississippi State, St. Louis and Georgetown.
The above 3 were my #4-#6 plays for the day.
Here are my top 3 that I am riding as it seems to be a juicy card on tap for tonight.
KANSAS STATE +10.5 will wait to see if line rises, please let me know if it does - hoping for 11 - 2 Units.
I know I am fighting with fire on this play as Kansas State but I have my reasonings and the backing and I will try to show you why. The reason I am fighting with fire is that Kansas comes off a loss and we remember what happened last time that happened as they pounded Baylor on the road.
Well, this is no Baylor as Kansas State despit one of their key players going down in January has even played better and they could be catching 11 if I wait for this line to rise.
This game is a rivalry and I don't see these K-State players losing by double-digits.
Look at the similar games these guys have played and you'll see why. Do you know Kansas State is a top 40 team and has won their last 7 ballgames in a row?
This team goes on the road to beat Missouri - when Missouri began playing well at that time as that team finally has a road backbone, then this team beats Baylor by 9, not imrpessive but Baylor but then they go on the road to beat Iowa State by 10 - a game that Kansas won by just 4 in overtime, then they pound a top 200 Chicago team with great defense by 37, beat a very good Nebraska team that I pointed to yesterday by 16, and the hell, they beat Missouri again by 7 at home! and defeated the Lonhorns by 1 on the road. Wow.
If that doesn't get some respect I don't know what will.
Am I worried about Kansas off a loss - sure. However, you saw when Missouri and Kansas played that Kansas almost lost at home to Mizzou and Kansas has looked human of late against teams that are good -like A&M for example.
I think Kansas State loses by 4-6 points in my book in a hard faught, great defensive ball-game.
Wildcats have covered their last 6 ballgames and are 5-1 ATS when facing a spread of 7 to 12.5 which is what they face today. A stat that I really like, Kansas is just 1-8 ATS when facing a team with a winning record at home - which means they don't cover big spreads at home against the better teams - i.e. when they failed to cover against A&M and even USC earlier in the season.
WRIGHT STATE -1.5 2 Units
This is a straight up power play on my end.
Wright State is 11-1 when facing teams that are ranked between the regions of 100-200 in my book.
How do I ignore that? This is why I chose this game over St. Louis and the only reason why is Xavier's revenge factor and they are dominant at home - after all, I was going to ride the Dukes regardless today - lol.
This line opened up at +3 and has been going down all damn day and I just don't get it.
Maybe the public assumes after a 14 point win, this Illinois team gets revenge - but I don't think so.
Wright State are winners of 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. I look at line movements too but I think this is b.s.
Wright State - a top 100 team in my book and who has been playing of top 50 caliber of lately - yes, top 50, went on the road to beat top 130 Loyola Chicago by 120, beat top 150 Wisconsin Green Bay by 11 on the road and beat top 170 Detroit by 7 on the road.
Now, they play a top 195 Illinois-Chicago team on the road who lost to Wisconsin-Green Bay by 20 on the road (31 point differential when compared to Wright State), lost to top 275 Cleveland State at home by 5 and are currently mired in a 6 game losing streak.
Why are they getting this much respect today, is beyond me but I guess I could see them rising up, but they are playing at a top 225 level of late.
As far as the revenge factor for Illinois - I just can't buy it b/c Wright State beat a better by 11 at home, and the beat them by 11 on the road. They beat a better Loyola-Chicago team by 20+ at home, and then beat them by 12 on the road.
Unless the refs help out Illinois-Chicago a lot, I see Wright State winning by 6-7 points.
DUQUESNE +3.5: 2 Units.
I don't see this line rising more but I would love to take it at +4 if I can but don't think it will happen.
With their new style of offense, which comprises of just shooting the lights out of the ball for over a 100 points and having a new set of fresh legs of 3 point ballers rolling in, the Dukes can play.
The Dukes are one of the fastest growing teams in the country as far as power-rankings are concerned and they are now top 175 in the nation in my book.
Results of late for the Dukes:
They beat a top 100 Dayton team at home by 3, they beat a top 150 team in Temple by 4 at home, they beat a top 50 team in Xavier at home by 2 and then they go on the road to rip the bonnies a new one to show their style of play does work on the road and beat them by nearly 20 without stopping the scoring attack.
93, 96, 93 and 111 points respectively. Hell, they would score 200 if you'd let 'em I think - lol.
La Salle is a top 270 team that has lost their last 5 of 6 ballgames with a sole win against one of the worst pr teams in the nation in Richmond.
This team lost to Temple by 25 on the road and lost to Fordham at home recently. I don't think the public realizes the Dukes potential and just sees their record which is what the oddsmakers want I assume.
Hell, this team lost by 14 to St. Bonny's on the road (33 point differential to the Dukes). Just think this is 2 teams headed in different directions and I just like the Dukes having the revenge factor as they lost to this team by 13 on the road earlier in the year.
The Dukes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games - yes, 9-1 and La Salle is -7 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
This is what I have fellas, apologize for the delay, just a busy day.
Take care,
IC
