IC: February 8th Top Plays

indiancowboy

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Dec 17, 2006
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Decent day yesterday as I go 2-1 and 4-2 in units. Furious that I should have gone 3-0 as I left Iowa and Purdue out there like pork chops after talking about them. Honorable mentions of Miss State and Georgetown cash in as well.

Tuesday -
San Diego State (1.5 units) - W

Wednesady -
Duquesne (2 Units) - W
Kansas State (2 Units) - L
Wright State (2 Units) - W

FEBRUARY 8TH TOP PLAY: (2 Units)

FAIRFIELD STAGS +9 or better (Currently sits at +8.5 but I think it will rise to 9 or maybe even 9.5, but will settle for at least 9 waiting or buying the half. Line opened at 8. Please let me know if the line rises anywhere).

Do you know that the Fairfield Stags have quitely won their last 7 striaght ballgames?

They are now 8-5 in conference - guess what Marist is? Not much better at 9-5 in conference play.

Like this play for many reasonn, in particular, it fades the public by a 2 to 1 margin, and it pits 2 teams that are even of late in my book - yes, the Fairfield Stags are even with respect to numbers against Marist.

Marist has covered the spread in this series the last 5 years, but they are clearly getting screwed here in my book.

You think Marist is that much better than Fairfield - I'll make my case for Fairfield b/c I think it's worth a 1.5 unit wager on my end.

Fairfield goes on the road to beat Iona by 7 in overtime. So what Iona right? Then Fairfield takes care of Siena, a top 175 team on the road and wins outright by 5 points in a game they were dogged by 10 points heading in - similar to today.

Then, Fairfield beats Iona again by 3 despite Iona having a revenge factor. Here's when it gets good - Fairfield then continues to beating St. Peters, Niagara by 12 and 8 points then beats Canisius on the road by 4 and Loyola Maryland a top 200 team at home.

This has been a one team wrecking crew when it comes to conference play.

How has Marist done against similar teams?

Farifield beats Niagara by 8 at home., Marist loses to Niagara by 12 at home,
Fairfield beats St. Peter by 8 at home, Marist beats them by 9 at home.
Fairfield beats Loyola Maryland by 3 at home, Marist beats LMand by 5 at H.
Fairfield loses to Rider by 1 at home, while Marist beats Rider by 1 on the road.

The Stags have been one of the best covers late as they are 5-1-1 in their last 7 games.

The Stags are 5-1 when facing a spread of 7-12 points of late as an underdog.

The Redfoxes of Marist are 0-6 ATS of late.

The Redfoxes are 0-6 ATS as a favorite.

And finally, Marist 0-6 in their last 6 conference games while just 1-4-1 ATS when facing a 7 to 12 point spread.

This is why I am on Fairfield for the outright or hang with Marist. The line is important, so I will at least play 9 and hope for a 9.5.

That's what I have on my card fellas, best of luck on whatever you play.
IC
 

indiancowboy

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Forum Member
Dec 17, 2006
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Fairfield 64-Marist 65

Fairfield covers the +8.5 or +9.

Good night and see you tomorrow fellas,
IC
 
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