1 NBA Play posted in the NBA Forum - Spurs 1st half - 1.5 - analysis there:
Kentucky/Tennessee Under 70.5 First Half (3 Units)
Loftin is expected to miss the game - the star for Tennesee - but this is such a big spread to lay on any team against another in the SEC although if Lofton does not play, the undoubted play is on Kentucky. However, if Lofton does play or does not play, I liked the under in this game to begin with regardless.
Lofton accounts for a great deal of the Vols offense and the Vols have struggled on the road including their 4 straight losses and not to mention putting up less points on the road such as 69 on the road most recently at Ole Miss.
When this game is played in Kentucky, it goes under. When this game is played in Tennessee, it goes over. Here's an example:
Here is a total of the last few times this game was in the Rup - a place where defensive pressure takes hold against other offensive minded teams and Kentucky always plays down or up to their level of opponents with respect to scoring - they hunker down on a lead and they claw back when they are down - which means, much like the Nets, when they have a lead, they typically sit on it:
Kentucky 1st Halfs Mathcups prior to this game at Home:
55/Auburn Game
65/ Vandy Game
53/ Miss State
71/ Houston
62/ Eastern Kentucky
However, here is why I like the Under: With Lofton not being there. I can go on and on, but with Lofton being injured and with the first half unders in Kentucky, and if Tennessee wants any chance at staying in this game, they have to play defense and consequently, I like the under.
Georgia -5 (3 units)
I think Georgia is going to beat the living shit out of LSU today.
Georgia is a very good team that is being underrated here given LSU's track record against Georgia - won the last couple of times they've played them - but this is not the same Georgia.
They have come back strong after years of troubles in the recruiting process and LSU is down right horrible in conference right now - this team just cannot score averaging 69.6 a game, which is nothing considering that on the road, they are even more horrible putting up 52 against Arkansas, 53 most recently against Vandy and 61 against Bama' on the road.
LSU = horrible right now. Georgia = Solid at home and can score at home.
Tigers are 0-7 ATS last 7 road games &
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS last 5 Ballgames.
I belelive I have made my case on all accounts. Yes, I know I have 3 plays for 3 units, but I like them that much and they all work within my system so I will have to play it that way - if they're strong plays, I'm not going to be afraid not to play it for my highets play.
Honorable Mentions: (No particular order)
Iowa
Marquette
Depaul
Va Tech
Kentucky/Tennessee Under 70.5 First Half (3 Units)
Loftin is expected to miss the game - the star for Tennesee - but this is such a big spread to lay on any team against another in the SEC although if Lofton does not play, the undoubted play is on Kentucky. However, if Lofton does play or does not play, I liked the under in this game to begin with regardless.
Lofton accounts for a great deal of the Vols offense and the Vols have struggled on the road including their 4 straight losses and not to mention putting up less points on the road such as 69 on the road most recently at Ole Miss.
When this game is played in Kentucky, it goes under. When this game is played in Tennessee, it goes over. Here's an example:
Here is a total of the last few times this game was in the Rup - a place where defensive pressure takes hold against other offensive minded teams and Kentucky always plays down or up to their level of opponents with respect to scoring - they hunker down on a lead and they claw back when they are down - which means, much like the Nets, when they have a lead, they typically sit on it:
Kentucky 1st Halfs Mathcups prior to this game at Home:
55/Auburn Game
65/ Vandy Game
53/ Miss State
71/ Houston
62/ Eastern Kentucky
However, here is why I like the Under: With Lofton not being there. I can go on and on, but with Lofton being injured and with the first half unders in Kentucky, and if Tennessee wants any chance at staying in this game, they have to play defense and consequently, I like the under.
Georgia -5 (3 units)
I think Georgia is going to beat the living shit out of LSU today.
Georgia is a very good team that is being underrated here given LSU's track record against Georgia - won the last couple of times they've played them - but this is not the same Georgia.
They have come back strong after years of troubles in the recruiting process and LSU is down right horrible in conference right now - this team just cannot score averaging 69.6 a game, which is nothing considering that on the road, they are even more horrible putting up 52 against Arkansas, 53 most recently against Vandy and 61 against Bama' on the road.
LSU = horrible right now. Georgia = Solid at home and can score at home.
Tigers are 0-7 ATS last 7 road games &
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS last 5 Ballgames.
I belelive I have made my case on all accounts. Yes, I know I have 3 plays for 3 units, but I like them that much and they all work within my system so I will have to play it that way - if they're strong plays, I'm not going to be afraid not to play it for my highets play.
Honorable Mentions: (No particular order)
Iowa
Marquette
Depaul
Va Tech
