If the Colts weren't sooo freaking dominate...

[Wilson]

the last two weeks...NE would be laying 6...and I wouldn't hesitate to play the Pats......But, right now I am stunningly unclear who to take...

OVER 42 seems like the best play...but, everyone and I mean everyone is playing that number and it keeps falling. Go figure.

I'm definitely playing Cats in the nightcap...Eagles are overrated.

 

[kcwolf]

Respect your opinions Wilson, so thought I might reply.

Leaning Colts and under, for sure not popular.

 

[cash]

with the price at 3,vegas trolling for pats $$$$

BEWARE

 

[loophole]

exactly my thoughts. like everyone else, my lean going into today was the pats at home with the better d, just like the rest of the free world. yet the line stays at -3 or @ oly its -3- -105. both lines look aimed at drawing ne money.


same thing going on with the philly line imo. everyone seems to be on the panthers this morning, yet the line hasn't budged.


i'm leery, but right now inclined to indy and philly.

 

[cavy1]

both lines look aimed at drawing ne money. ?

With Ne happy to take a knee at any number and the colts as a scoring machine the past few weeks I see the public all over the +3.
Anyone who had the colts the past two weeks were happy at 1/2 time. No sitting on the edge of thier seat. Anyone who had gone against the colts the past two weeks (like me) had to shut the tv off at 1/2 time


just my thoughts

 

[shamrock]

not sure we're you folks are looking, but the big consensus site I use is Indianapolis 55%. Smart book I use is Pinnacle and they are taxing that New England -3, -25 cents, that's giant. Nobody wants to roll that number to a 3.5:nono:

 

[acer69]

middle man be/t bookie and callers, so far 15 on colts, 2 on pats.

 

[loophole]

i'm still learning the science of line moves, but, unless you opened at -3- and had considerable indy action at that number, why would you be shy about moving to -2-? unless pinnacle opened at -3-, maybe they're playing some games themselves with the -125. just speculating.

 

[Wilson]

Line just moved to 3.5 in most places in Vegas....kind of contrary to the post above about most plays on Colts. I'm just going to play NE since I am already on Carolina tonight......a favorite has to cover in one of these games

 

[kcwolf]

will readily agree with your thoughts my friend, Dan.

And really appreciate the personal email on the weather. You were 100% accurate.

Thanks Dan!

ps: to Steve and others, I capped the games as follows and throw it out or blast me, I could care less:

Very close calls on both games. Best I have to offer is Indy/under, Phi/over, but still working on it.

 

[shamrock]

loop-because the overwhelming majority of games are decided by 3 points. It is the jewel of key numbers. With players able to buy (.5) points. A sports book could get slaughtered by being "Middled" or "sided" by players going both ways. Hence book losing both ways. Hope that helps.

 

[DCPlayer]

EAGLES!!!

EAGLES!!!

Both favs today guys!

Good luck to everyone!!

 

[shamrock]

guess I stand corrected, some smaller off shore cracking to 3.5, that only makes me feel more comfortable with New England. Pinnacle still taxing that -3, 24 cents

 

[AR182]

in case anybody is interested, olympic has had the n.e. game at 3.5 since last night.

 

[edludes]

Worth a second read.