i think im starting to like this bet more and more so am happy with taking the +7 now in case it moves under the key number which is unlikely IMO. I think it stays firm maybe to 7.5 but thats OK.... on to what stands out to me the most with this game...its hard to ignore the following:
Indy @ San Fran 27-7,
Indy vs Seattle 34-28,
Indy vs Denver 39-33,
Indy @ Kansas City 23-7,
Indy vs KC 45-44
these are, to me, quality wins in a pretty tough schedule,indy also played zona tenny houston twice blah, cinnci, san diego, miami etc. pretty quality opponents they have faced almost every team in this years playoffs except GB, Carolina, and Philly. And have done great in close games ATS.
New England only has 2 wins to Playoff quality teams first was at home vs New Orleans 30-27 ..ten point halftime lead then it came down to the wire against the struggling road team in Nawlins, then we all remember the Denver game .34-31 final. they get em at home against and get crushed in the 1H then storm back in the 2H much like the Texans game off hand i cant remember any others. So thats two teams they beat that are still left in the playoffs, the third playoff team they faced was Carolina who beat them on the questionable call at the end which we all remember..final score was a 24-20 Loss.
Bottom line is none of these wins were convincing 7point+ wins against this caliber of a team in Indy. I doubt Indy gets down big early, I expect Luck to play a good game, he seems relaxed poised and focused and reminds me of when Rothelisberger and Flacco made runs in the playoffs as young QBs it seems to happen to one young QB every year .. is this Lucks year? Some may argue that the regular season schedule has nothing to do with winning in the playoffs but like i say .....some things are hard to ignore .. .booyea
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +7 risking 5.5 UNITS to win 5.0 UNITS
Indy @ San Fran 27-7,
Indy vs Seattle 34-28,
Indy vs Denver 39-33,
Indy @ Kansas City 23-7,
Indy vs KC 45-44
these are, to me, quality wins in a pretty tough schedule,indy also played zona tenny houston twice blah, cinnci, san diego, miami etc. pretty quality opponents they have faced almost every team in this years playoffs except GB, Carolina, and Philly. And have done great in close games ATS.
New England only has 2 wins to Playoff quality teams first was at home vs New Orleans 30-27 ..ten point halftime lead then it came down to the wire against the struggling road team in Nawlins, then we all remember the Denver game .34-31 final. they get em at home against and get crushed in the 1H then storm back in the 2H much like the Texans game off hand i cant remember any others. So thats two teams they beat that are still left in the playoffs, the third playoff team they faced was Carolina who beat them on the questionable call at the end which we all remember..final score was a 24-20 Loss.
Bottom line is none of these wins were convincing 7point+ wins against this caliber of a team in Indy. I doubt Indy gets down big early, I expect Luck to play a good game, he seems relaxed poised and focused and reminds me of when Rothelisberger and Flacco made runs in the playoffs as young QBs it seems to happen to one young QB every year .. is this Lucks year? Some may argue that the regular season schedule has nothing to do with winning in the playoffs but like i say .....some things are hard to ignore .. .booyea
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +7 risking 5.5 UNITS to win 5.0 UNITS
