Is There Value Here?

[eztds]

I believe there is good value in the over 195 line for tonight's T-wloves/Pistons game.

Here are my thoughts:

-In the T-wolves' last 9 games.....all but 1 has went over 100 (and that one end at 97).

-The T-wolves seasonal average is 102.3/gm. In the last 9 they have averaged WELL above that tally at----->109!

-KG and Wally are getting it done with 22 & 20 per game respectively. I really like the way KG is playing in recent games......the man is a "franchise".

-On the Piston's side......they didn't shoot very well on MLK day against the Bucks and lost 97-79. They shot 36% which was almost 10% below their sesonal average of 45%.

On Monday:

Stackhouse 5-21 for 19 pts....his seasonal ave. 23

BUT

Robinson 2-8 for 5 pts....his seasonal ave. 15 OUCH

-Pistons average 93.6/gm on the season but managed only 79 total pts against the Bucks. This is why...IMO...we have some line value in tonight's total of 195.

-No Rebraca tonight for Detroit...out with a back...(averaging 7/gm) doesn't hurt them as much offensively as it does defensively.....thereby allowing even MORE T-wolf scoring IMO.

-Looks like the linesmen......for whatever reason took the 2 teams seasonal average (102.3 & 93.6) and just "ran it up the flag pole"!

-Minn may not score 109 tonight...but...I'm betting Detroit gets closer to 95 than 79 tonight as the T-Wolves get their 100+.

-Due to a lack luster Piston's game on Monday giving us value and the recent ABOVE seasonal average T-wolf scoring.....I'm making the OVER 98 1H and Over 195 plays.

Hope this logic plays out for us tonight! GL

--->Over 98 1H

&

--->Over 195 for the T-wolves/Pistons

--------------------------------------------------

3-1...LN

-Wiz over 89' 1H W

-Wiz under 88' 2H W

-Wiz +5 L

-LAL under 99 2H W


65-39-2...YTD ez

 

[eztds]

Heck, maybe we can even count on Brandon........

Heck, maybe we can even count on Brandon........

to commit another stupid, end-of-the-game..."meaningless"...foul on a 3 point shooter like he did on Whitney Monday evening!!!

As dnugs so astutely said.....that kinda "stuff" usually decides about 30+ percent of the games you'll play.

Guys, all ya can do is dust yourself off...then..."bow-up and make a hand" whenever "stuff happens"! ez

 

[ClubFoot]

I think all of your points are valid here but Detroit has been so up and down this season, it's hard to figure out which Pistons team game will show up for each game. I like the side (t'wolves -4) much better here in this matchup. GL!!

 

[eztds]

I hear Ya Club.....

I hear Ya Club.....

just hope'n the home court has Detroit find'n the hole tonight!

BTW, I like the T-wolves too. Might even come back and make 'em a play later today. C Ya. ez

 

[ClubFoot]

eztds...

eztds...

dnuggs and dta6 have some good info regarding the side in this game on their threads. Check em out. Also, I'm looking at the Sonics tonight too, researching that game now. GL!!

 

[eztds]

Yeah, Club.........

Yeah, Club.........

I can't stand it any more.

Make'n the T-wolves -4 a play tonight as well.

Wally bring your A game dude.

KG is a superstar!

Give him MINUTES tonight....and we'll be ALRIGHT!

Gotta run...later guys. ez

 

[Dragon]

I noticed a lot of people on Minny tonight. This one looks like gold, but it kind of scares me. Detroit is a funny team sometimes. I could see them covering this number or winning this one outright.

 

[vanbasten]

ez,

didn't even look at this before i posted, i have detroit to the under, but not breakin the bank on either. you make good points about the over, and everyone in here seems to be on minny. good luck to you tonight!

van