IX..................Sunday

[IX_Bender]

Overreaction.



One of these teams has covered and gone 5-1 ATS last 6 weeks.


The other team has gone 1-5 ATS over the same time span.


Last week, this team won and covered in a prime time game covering a 14 pt spread for all Joe Schmoes by a whopping 24 pts.


The opponent got blown out and lost ATS by 23 pts!



Add those two covers up and its a 47 pt ATS COVERING #.


This league is built on overreactions. Vegas opens this line at 13 knowing that it will be bet on and bet hard.


Undefeated Super Bowl champion public money laying 2 tds is on one side.


IX_Bender is on the other.



TAMPA BAY +14

 

[ThrowinPicks]

GL B

 

[Vicious]

On it as well. One team (Green Bay) has another game to play on the road in three days.
Love Tampa in this spot.
Good Luck!

 

[Juji-gatame]

Staying far away. Good luck. TB has problems!:scared 14 is a big#

 

[loophole]

my local got so loaded up on green bay and buffalo offered tampa +14- and miami -2. i bit.

good luck today bender.

 

[IX_Bender]

Betting against the Pack is scary, and Im sure they will get up by DD at some point.


This isnt a straight contrarian play as much as its a clear letdown spot.

Divisional game sandwich with both those being prime time non Sunday tilts.


I wont bore you with the %, but this is a +EV play that doesnt come up all that much. Love the fact that the Pack are undefeated and Rodgers is the best QB in the NFL.

Gimme 2 TDs, garbage time and a double ended short week. Bay of Pigs indeed!

 

[Woodson]

on it as well.


Good luck Bender.

:toast:

 

[IX_Bender]

Loop, that Burfalo game scares the bejeezus outta me. GL 2 U.

 

[loophole]

yeah i know but somebody somewhere drove the line to -3. i'm fishing for oakland +3 as we speak.

 

[michaeljbird]

Thanks buddy. Followed you on this one !

 

[IX_Bender]

Wish I was loop's local


Scattered smothered and covered up with shit bets on GB and Buffalo considering neither of them was covering for even a second of the games.

Im sure hes rolling in the dough watching all these chasers on NYG.

Small play on Philly + the points tonight in this stinker.

 

[Woodson]

:toast:

 

[IX_Bender]

A true Vegas dream.


I will pocket my cash and make no fuss.


Cheers

 

[Cie]

Well done

 

[Jord20]

A true Vegas dream.

I will pocket my cash and make no fuss.

Cheers

Great call. You talked me over the edge on Tampa. You are as solid as they come on here, IMO.