Jeff Sagarin Ratings NFL

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http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2014/

clicking on the sos headings..


The NFL released its 2014 schedule Wednesday night, confirming the dates and locations of all 256 matchups (and ending your chance to enter the St. Louis Rams? schedule-guessing contest, even though you had no chance of winning). With the slate solidified, you can probably expect to see more of the standard strength-of-schedule analysis that averages the 2013 winning percentages of a team?s opponents. Unfortunately, those numbers aren?t especially useful, because they assume each team will be exactly as good in 2014 as it was in 2013; in reality, NFL teams vary quite a bit from season to season, and our ability to predict which ones will and won?t be good in a given year is extremely limited.

For example, going into the 2013 season, the Detroit Lions were expected to have the league?s second-hardest schedule based on the 2012 records of their opponents. So, what ended up happening? According to the strength-of-schedule component of Pro-Football-Reference?s Simple Rating System, Detroit actually had the league?s easiest slate of opponents last season.
 
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