im not a big nfl trend player but here's an interesting intersection of two perfect trends: 1) favorites of 7 or less off an overtime loss are 0-17 ats since 2006 (balt). 2) road teams with line within 3 of pick off loss that dropped team to .500 are 31-0-2 since 2004 (jets). comments?
Yea Jets suck, but so does 28 of the 32 NFL teams, and when the Jets offense doesn't turn games into 10-0 deficit with the ball, and under 4 minutes to go in the 1st half to 20-0 at halftime the Defense starts getting better, and better as the game goes on if its close.
Jets can beat most teams as long as the offense doesn't give it away early.
Also IMO a lot of these betting trends that go back past pre lockout NFL, and every Thursday Night games NFL should be taken a little lightly. All these rookie QB's, and crappy backup QB's playing in like 30% of the leagues games has really screwed up the NFL brand.
Outside of being a degenerate who can honestly say they feel comfortable putting up $$$$$$$$ on a Ryan Fitzpatrick VS Matt McGloin, or whatever his name is.
The NFL survives off gambling, and Fantasy Football, and if they keep putting out a shitty product like they have now eventually the masses will find something else to get obsessed with, and it will go the way of baseball, still relevant, but forever declining.