i agree with jeff. easy to say after the fact
i think theres a misconception with dog players.
personally, i bet about 90% dogs.
but that doesnt mean that i blindly take a dog in every bowl game. i prefer to pick and choose my spots. my philosophy is "wait for good dog situations. if nothing pops up thats appealing, just pass and wait it out"
tinkering with the capping strategy a handful of yrs ago was the best thing i ever did. its been flat out night and day. and its the reason ive been able to have far more winning streaks/weeks/seasons than losing ones.
to your point- you are right in a sense. some just blindly bet the underdog in every bowl game and expect to cash in. its not quite that easy. but no way will i ever lay chalk consistently. its unbelievably detrimental and hazardous to a bankroll
most people couldnt pick 52 or 53% winners WITHOUT spread. to handicap yourself even more by consistently betting favorites who not only have to win, but cover a number as well.... its nuts.
nice call on oregon state. new mexico clearly was not their sharpest, but osu a better team anyway and it showed. that being said, just because favs have covered so far has little to do with team talent or class.