KC - NYJ Thought Thread

[acehistr8]

Looking to start some thoughts on this game.

Jets give Pennington the nod this week and still carry a slightly hobbled Curtis Martin. In the last 3 games they have scored 3,3, and 7 points on offense, while KC has put up points at will against what were thought to be fairly good defenses (48 against Miami).

My first model came out at 48 - 21 KC. This seems ridiculous given the line, but my models have worked well this hear on high variance games (where my line differs significantly from the game line).

Thoughts? Would like to hear from Jets leaners on this.

 

[pel7]

I am taking the over 45,surely the jets will score at home

 

[Senor Capper]

Oh dem Chefs.

Oh dem Chefs.

Aint calling this game, hate to jinx my boyz.
:nono:
Will I bet 'em this week ?
Never say never.



Trends:

KC is 5 pts from a 9-0 spread run but is a shameful 1-6 ATS visiting .333 pt or lower squads.

Chefs are also a disappointing 4-12 ATS on the Oct road off a HG.

Good thing is the J E T S are 1-9 ATS hosting AFC West squads.

 

[broondog]

well,since the ats trends are conflicting I'd say look hard at the pressure on the rookie I'm with ya SENOR

 

[acehistr8]

Pressure on the whole team. A bad defense and a worsening offense led by a shaky rookie. Too soon to tell maybe, will have to wait for some practice reports to come out.

 

[Valuist]

This is the Pro Football Weekly pick of the week (KC). All 11 took KC, and PFW has had a horrible record when 9 or more are on the same side. As bad as the Jets have been, I have to consider taking the home dog; that's at least enough to get me off a possible KC play. Maybe Pennington can make a difference. He certainly couldn't be any worse than what they had.