Leans week one

[Chenker]

I am looking at all of the totals set for next week. I will look closer at the sides early next week after the numbers start to move a little bit. Right now I like all of the dogs if I can get the right lines but I want to see what the lines do next week.

Definitely a play on the under in Nebraska/ASU

I like the over in the Badgers/Bulldogs game

I like the over in the Rams/Cavs game

Slight lean to the under in the FSU/ISU game

I like the under in the Bucks/Raiders game

Slight lean to under in NC ST/N Mexico

write ups to come

 

[Chenker]

Col State/Virginia

Col State/Virginia

I really like Van Pelt and expect him to have a great year- I think the Rams will be able to run the ball effectively versus the Cavs- The Rams weakness looks to be in their secondary. On the flip side I think the Cavs will be able to move the ball through the air versus the Rams with an experienced QB (who is decent) and a pretty good receiving corps. I think the Cavs will be a little weak at stopping the run. I see the score in this game being around 31-28 with the Rams winning by a slim margin. The Cavs are also planning on playing a lot of true freshmen and I think this will hurt them early in the year. I definitely think the Rams can put up 23 or more points against the Cavs and if they do the worst you could do is lose the juice if yoiu play the Rams +3 and over 48.

 

[Chenker]

ASU/Nebraska

ASU/Nebraska

I think ASU will be held to 14 or less points- going to be tough to score with a new QB in Lincoln with average talent on offense. I think the ASU D will be able to hold its own against the Huskers and I do not see the Huskers scoring more than 31 in this game (on offense). I think it will take Lord some time to get it going and I expect Solich to be pretty conservative with him. Rember margin of victory does not mean anything to the BCS anymore. I would like to play ASU +24 if I can get it and the under.

 

[Chenker]

Wisc/Fresno St.

Wisc/Fresno St.

Wisc will be able to score this year but their defense is going to be terrible IMO. I do not like the line at -7 but if it moves one way or another I would play it. If it goes to 10 I would take the Bulldogs and if it goes lower (which I doubt) I would take the Badgers. I think we will see the Badgers get some revenge from last year and they should score in the mid 30's. I expect the Bulldogs to be able to put up at least 24 against this porous D.

 

[Chenker]

bucks/raiders

bucks/raiders

I think the bucks are very overrated going into this season but I think their defense is going to be a dominant group. I also do not think Tressel is going to blow out anyone with this offense. With the line at 7 it will be a no play for me but if you see any movement one way or another I would play against the line move. I think Kingsbury will have a good year and their defense should be solid and they could beat the Bucks in the Shoe but I think OSU gets it done by 3-7 points with the final score being somewhere around 21-17. I will play the under at 48 1/2