These lessons cost thousand of dollars and years of cussing so I suggest you print these and look at it every bet you make . From a friend at another site please add anything left off.
Don'ts and why
1. Never bet on a home team laying 1 point in any sport (This is a huge sucker bet. "All they have to do is win"-That is what the books want you to think)
2. NFL-Never lay these numbers with the fave(1, 2.5, 5.5) These numbers entice you to take the favorite-you would be at 36% in the nfl this year if you played all of these.
3. Never play home favorites in TV games (big games) when the consensus is on that team.
4. Never play teasers in any sport accept NFL-and only then in certain situations.
5. Never bail out on Sunday Night and Monday Night-(why do you think payday is tuesday with most locals?)
6. Never ever play parlays-if you really like two games-you are better off betting an action reverse bet. (Better numbers here)
7. Never ever follow sports services or analyst (they always hype one team aka auburn)
8. Never bet on trends posted (Sportsbooks put out these-just so you know)
9. Never buck a streak (I.E. Don't bet against the Patriots when they are 20-2 ATS)
10. Don't play too many totals-these are complete crapshoots
11. Never pay money to a service (this is just a waste)
12. Never buy points-except to 3 in the NFL (waste of money if you do)
13. Never lay 120-150 with home teams in MLB (these hit 45% of time)
14. Never bet against a team because there star player is hurt (lines are already adjusted)
15. Never bet on a favorite in the NFL if the line doesnt move from open to close
16. Never bet on the dog on the moneyline in football when the line is between 1-3 in the NFL. Payout is not worth the risk-if you notice the dogs that win outright are usually between 4-10 point dogs
17. Never bet a fave on the moneyline if the ml is more than 125-this is just a bad propostion.
18. Do not bet on a team because their stats are better-this is already taken into account in the line.
Do's and why
1. Do bet on a road dog when the consensus is on the home fave in a big tv game unless you are bucking a streak (i.e. 3:30 CFB game on CBS or ABC) Road dogs against the public hit at over 70% this year in this situation)
2. Do bet on a dog in the NFL if the line does not move all week-(i.e. line opens at 3 and stays there all week-bet the dog)
3. Do bet on a road dog when the public is on that same team-this goes for any sport-(NFL this year 67%-CBB 65% so far)
4. Do bet on a team when their star QB is hurt in the NFL (the teams always steps up and wins)
5. Do bet on a team that is on a streak when they are an underdog.
6. Do bet on the home favorite when they are unranked and playing a ranked team in CBB (67% over last 6 years)
7. Do bet on the opposite of what happened in the earlier games the same night (i.e. both dogs covered the first 2 NBA games-so play should have been on the favorite in the late game) This works in every sports-home vs. road, dog vs. fave, over vs. under (Wednesday night in the NBA the first 6 games that ended went 5-1 on dogs and 6-0 on under- the last 6 games went 6-0 on faves and 5-1 on the over
8. Do have many outs-line shopping will do you better than buying points(i.e. line on chargers game-you can get 6 at pinnacle or 7.5 at bodog) big diff
These are just a few and they are my opinions (that have been tested) only
Please feel free to add- and I will add more soon
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Last edited by blake : Today at 01:03 AM.
Don'ts and why
1. Never bet on a home team laying 1 point in any sport (This is a huge sucker bet. "All they have to do is win"-That is what the books want you to think)
2. NFL-Never lay these numbers with the fave(1, 2.5, 5.5) These numbers entice you to take the favorite-you would be at 36% in the nfl this year if you played all of these.
3. Never play home favorites in TV games (big games) when the consensus is on that team.
4. Never play teasers in any sport accept NFL-and only then in certain situations.
5. Never bail out on Sunday Night and Monday Night-(why do you think payday is tuesday with most locals?)
6. Never ever play parlays-if you really like two games-you are better off betting an action reverse bet. (Better numbers here)
7. Never ever follow sports services or analyst (they always hype one team aka auburn)
8. Never bet on trends posted (Sportsbooks put out these-just so you know)
9. Never buck a streak (I.E. Don't bet against the Patriots when they are 20-2 ATS)
10. Don't play too many totals-these are complete crapshoots
11. Never pay money to a service (this is just a waste)
12. Never buy points-except to 3 in the NFL (waste of money if you do)
13. Never lay 120-150 with home teams in MLB (these hit 45% of time)
14. Never bet against a team because there star player is hurt (lines are already adjusted)
15. Never bet on a favorite in the NFL if the line doesnt move from open to close
16. Never bet on the dog on the moneyline in football when the line is between 1-3 in the NFL. Payout is not worth the risk-if you notice the dogs that win outright are usually between 4-10 point dogs
17. Never bet a fave on the moneyline if the ml is more than 125-this is just a bad propostion.
18. Do not bet on a team because their stats are better-this is already taken into account in the line.
Do's and why
1. Do bet on a road dog when the consensus is on the home fave in a big tv game unless you are bucking a streak (i.e. 3:30 CFB game on CBS or ABC) Road dogs against the public hit at over 70% this year in this situation)
2. Do bet on a dog in the NFL if the line does not move all week-(i.e. line opens at 3 and stays there all week-bet the dog)
3. Do bet on a road dog when the public is on that same team-this goes for any sport-(NFL this year 67%-CBB 65% so far)
4. Do bet on a team when their star QB is hurt in the NFL (the teams always steps up and wins)
5. Do bet on a team that is on a streak when they are an underdog.
6. Do bet on the home favorite when they are unranked and playing a ranked team in CBB (67% over last 6 years)
7. Do bet on the opposite of what happened in the earlier games the same night (i.e. both dogs covered the first 2 NBA games-so play should have been on the favorite in the late game) This works in every sports-home vs. road, dog vs. fave, over vs. under (Wednesday night in the NBA the first 6 games that ended went 5-1 on dogs and 6-0 on under- the last 6 games went 6-0 on faves and 5-1 on the over
8. Do have many outs-line shopping will do you better than buying points(i.e. line on chargers game-you can get 6 at pinnacle or 7.5 at bodog) big diff
These are just a few and they are my opinions (that have been tested) only
Please feel free to add- and I will add more soon
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last edited by blake : Today at 01:03 AM.
