Look Mom it's the Maggot!

Maggot

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First things first. Betting the Nfl is like pissing up a frozen rope. Trying to pick winners and turn a prophet is harder getting your girl to take one past the balloon knot without you taking one deep first.:scared.. Let's face it while it seems like a good idea on paper, biting a pillow does not really ease the pain of your filly riding your backside going 43 and 1/5 seconds in the half mile like Secretariat in the Belmont. Trying to keep up with coaching changes, roster changes, injuries and free agency is tough enough. Now throw in coaching tendencies, trends, power rankings and strength of schedule you have got a pretty time consuming endeavor on your hands. If you are just getting started now, well son much like me with my sophomore year girlfriend Robin at good old Monmouth U, your ass is fucked son.:142smilie
All is not lost however friends. Rest assured while you were at the beach or on the mini golf course or taking your kid to band camp or to visit colleges you secretly hope they don't get excepted to due to tuition thats out of your league, The Maggot was hunkered down in my bunker reading article after article blog after blog. Isolating my fat ass like the unibomber my knowledge festering like a genital wart on a thai hooker. I have my power rankings fine tuned. I have all the schedule mapped out as to how many wins each team should wind up with. I have depth charts ingrained in my mind. All of the time I spent doing all of this means the chances of me reaching the Holy Grail of going better than 60% are not much better than a fat girl getting asked to prom unless she swallows or fucks on the first date.l
You see for people like us who live and breathe this shit, just when we think we have all the angles covered we tend to create more. Plain and simple we tend to out think ourselves. Worse yet we let the so called experts or "public" knock us off a team or spot. Never let anyone knock you off your spot. I hate when I see somebody on here or other forums talking about squares or public money. Because I have news for you. We the bettors are the public. When they talk about sharp money they are not talking about any of us on here I shit you not. I've been around betting football for 35 years now. My Old man God rest his soul got me started filling out "Bookie" parlay cards and got me into the office pool down at lefty's when I was 8. 35 years of this hit on both sides of the fence and I still get giddy like t's the week before Christmas instead of week 1. I will post some of the tips I have learned the hard way over the years later in the week. If Jack and IE don't mind I will keep this thread as sort of my attempt at a blog with my wagers, my write ups and maybe a little humor. Feel free to fade, heckle, criticize. I can't guarantee a profit but I can guarantee the work will be there and I will have fun doing it. At the end of the day f it isn't fun for you find a new hobby. Oh and one more thing if I don't win next season is free.:00hour:142smilie

Arizona -2.5 over the Saints.
All over the internet I have seen a lot of writing about why this line is so low. I tend to think the same way. Which means I guess I may be on the "public" play of the week. I don't care. Two teams heading in opposite directions as far as I'm concerned. Drew Brees is not throwing the ball with the authority I'm used to seeing. Both Lines are suspect to say the least. I love the energy Ariens brings game in and game out. I'm hearing strange chemistry issues out of New Orleans.. could Sean payton be losing the locker room? I don't think it is that bad, but I don't see them winning on the road in this spot.
2 units

I will be back as the week progresses with more selections my betting strategy and some things I have learned over the years. Here is to everybody cashing some tickets.







'
 

Maggot

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Thanks Bbmf.
One thing I have learned over the years the hard way is that you need to be disciplined and stick to your guns if you want to have any success doing this. Tonight I really love Pittsburgh good strong offensive line great quarterback and we're getting points. Coupled with the Super Bowl hangover I think the Steelers is the right play tonight, that being said I never touch games that the Steelers are involved in. They kill me if I bet on them they kill me if I bet against them. That is a rule that I will not break this season no games involving the Steelers will be touched. That is bankroll preservation for the maggot 101

I also tend to think everybody and their mother bets on the prime time games and the odds makers are at their sharpest. Therefore I only play a primetime game this year if I really think I have something. Again tonight's game is a pass

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Maggot

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Last year's straight record documented here was 29-26. I also tend to play a 3 team teaser and parlay every week. They are my guilty pleasure. I will post most of my card tomorrow and Saturday enjoy the game tonight!

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Maggot

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I have a pretty strong lean to the Ravens at +4.5 but betting against Manning at home opening day is not the smartest of plays. I also lean to Cowboys over Giants.. More on that one later.

The only other game I pulled the trigger on so far is


Sd over 45.5 3 units

Perfect weather Two gunslingers one in Detroit who turns it over a lot. I have this one hitting 60. :0074
 

Maggot

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Also played the Colts minus 2.5. Tough spot to start but I like Luck and Pagano over Ryan and tyrod. Bills blitz and luck burns them. If they don't he will systematically pick them apart. Colts specials are much better also.

1.5 units

Parlay 1 unit gets 6

Charger over 45.5
Packers minus 6
Dallas minus 6

Tease it for 3 units
Charger over 35.5
Pack plus 4
Boys plus 4.

I'm approaching my three teamers differently this year I'm simply looking to hit the best possible teaser. & I love this one. If I get lucky and hit the parlay it's all the better. my goal is to hit 10 teasers out of the 17 weeks. And I would love to you 5 parlays out of 17 weeks. If I do this I'm guaranteed a nice profit. Remember I track parlays and teasers separately from my straight bets they come from a different bank roll.



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Maggot

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2 unit teaser. Arizona plus 3.5
San Diego over 39.5
2 units

Enjoy and Drink heavily

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Maggot

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Really don't think the giant defense can keep the boys in check. Also with out Cruz odb will face double teams all night. Randall will need to step up huge..I have enough riding on the boys with parlay and teaser action.

Lean to under 52.5

No play

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Maggot

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Sep 5, 2014
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What did the maggot learn today? Never bet against your team even and parlays or teasers. Actually I've known that for years but cannot I was just stupid

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Maggot

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Sep 5, 2014
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Jersey Shore
straight plays
2-1
+$335

parlays 0-1
minus -$100

teasers 2-0
+$500


Decent start.

I think the math is correct. I believe I have one of my fans who will be monitorring closely checking my figures. But that rascal only pops in when the Maggot loses usually:SIB
 

Maggot

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Sep 5, 2014
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Jersey Shore
Really like the coaching staff in Minnesota I like Bridgewater's hard I think he can really be something special. Adrian Peterson obviously have something to prove. Expected to run with a chip on his shoulder. I really don't expect much out of San Francisco I understand Boldin and Torrey Smith are decent wr.. just don't think there will be much protection for him and I don't think the defense is anywhere near as good as it's been. I'll take the Vikings - 2 and a half 1.5 units

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Maggot

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Sep 5, 2014
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This game is putrid. Wish I was watching honey boo boo. Or r eal House wives of Compton

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