Looking for a run line/moneyline conversion

[jlippens]

Hey folks,

New to baseball betting and looking for a calculator/formula to easily figure out whether the value in a particular set of lines lies in the run line or money line. I've been looking around for a while but haven't been able to find anything. Does anyone know of one? Am I crazy? Shouldn't they exist?

 

[tig3rs]

formula? if you don't want to pay -175 or -200 but you really like that team to win that day. take the + odds and hope they win by more than 2. you're not gonna game the system. you gotta pick the right side.

if you're takin the home team RL, you risk the blowing of a lead top 9 down to 1 run or a bottom 9 comeback and 1-run win. away team's gonna get 9 at-bats, if you like them to build a lead and like their closer. get on it.

good luck with the bases. it's a crazy game.

 

[canuckfan77]

Another option is modifying the runline to 1 run and laying less juice with a favorite, that way if they only win by 1 it's a push.

 

[jlippens]

Hey folks,

Thanks for the word so far--but yes, was looking for something that was math based. Whether it's *always* a bad bet or not (and I doubt that it's always mathematically the wrong decision to take the run line -1.5), that's basically what I was looking for. I realize that you still have to pick winners, and that you're "hoping for a team to win by two", but statistically it should be the correct play or incorrect play based on prior collected data.

Anyone know of such a thing? It shouldn't be especially difficult to work out, if just given the strict results of how many home/away favourites win their games by two. You could add variables based on totals, but I'm not even necessarily looking to get into that. Anyone?

 

[Slicer]

Closest thing I could find on the web jlipp:

http://www.easybaseballbetting.com/getRL.php