Looking like a genious
- Thread starter #cruncher
- Start date
...what was I missing?
#cruncher,
its easy to say after the game's over.... I'm not trying to be a dick, so don't take it wrong..
but one of the few pitching stats that I believe is worthwhile is:
A pitcher's specific history vs the individual players on the team he's facing...
Peavy has very strong stats in that area... Kershaw too, and has been very strong at home going into tonite...
and those stats held true to form... for tonite at least lol...
and, it was a cool, damp evening in LA....
that added up to an under for me...
See how easy it is to say after the fact... :mj07:
I know this.... if stats and performance history always held true, it'd be easy to pick winners...
but they don't, and that's what makes it frustrating...
Thats why I personally don't enjoy spending time handicapping much at all.... just a few things to look at, a few other cappers.. and either play it or pass...
I know a few guys that would spend hrs and hrs ckg angles everyday on all kinds o' chit... and still end up around even...
Players and teams run hot and cold... and sometimes u figure it out in time to make some $$ from it lol...
shake it off buddy... lots of games still ahead... chin up!! cya tomorrow!
BoL~LoB
:toast:
its easy to say after the game's over.... I'm not trying to be a dick, so don't take it wrong..
but one of the few pitching stats that I believe is worthwhile is:
A pitcher's specific history vs the individual players on the team he's facing...
Peavy has very strong stats in that area... Kershaw too, and has been very strong at home going into tonite...
and those stats held true to form... for tonite at least lol...
and, it was a cool, damp evening in LA....
that added up to an under for me...
See how easy it is to say after the fact... :mj07:
I know this.... if stats and performance history always held true, it'd be easy to pick winners...
but they don't, and that's what makes it frustrating...
Thats why I personally don't enjoy spending time handicapping much at all.... just a few things to look at, a few other cappers.. and either play it or pass...
I know a few guys that would spend hrs and hrs ckg angles everyday on all kinds o' chit... and still end up around even...
Players and teams run hot and cold... and sometimes u figure it out in time to make some $$ from it lol...
shake it off buddy... lots of games still ahead... chin up!! cya tomorrow!
BoL~LoB
:toast:
Thanx LOB...that was a huge help...I had overlooked those specifics...and although I am getting a quick education on the bases I think I'm starting to learn.
I've started doing pretty much what you said...keeping it simple & looking at specific trends...they seem to be so much more important in baseball than football as I usually find myself betting against them in football.
And I can't tell you the relief I feel from spending untold hours doing what I was doing. And I'm seeing that baseball can require some 'deep pockets' also...whew...got to take it easy.
Thanx for your feedback...Hey, I know about that 'backcapping' stuff also...I've already clobbered the NFL last year this Feb, Mar, & April..:director: .
I've started doing pretty much what you said...keeping it simple & looking at specific trends...they seem to be so much more important in baseball than football as I usually find myself betting against them in football.
And I can't tell you the relief I feel from spending untold hours doing what I was doing. And I'm seeing that baseball can require some 'deep pockets' also...whew...got to take it easy.
Thanx for your feedback...Hey, I know about that 'backcapping' stuff also...I've already clobbered the NFL last year this Feb, Mar, & April..:director: .
#cruncher,
unfortunately, many times that stat I threw out there doesn't have enuf history to make it meaningful...
I do feel it's pretty solid w/Peavy playing the Dodgers so much each season...
but looking at the games I need today, there's only 1 guy on Texas (kinsler) that has much history of success vs Contreras... and the Wsox havt hardly faced the tex pitcher... same way in tiger/clev game...
so it doesn't always help alot lol...
re: deep pockets... there's so many plays/gms in baseball... might consider starting smaller and give ur bankroll a chance to build...
"Hindsight is 20-20" .... how true lol
BoL~LoB :mj06:
Best of Luck to ya....
unfortunately, many times that stat I threw out there doesn't have enuf history to make it meaningful...
I do feel it's pretty solid w/Peavy playing the Dodgers so much each season...
but looking at the games I need today, there's only 1 guy on Texas (kinsler) that has much history of success vs Contreras... and the Wsox havt hardly faced the tex pitcher... same way in tiger/clev game...
so it doesn't always help alot lol...
re: deep pockets... there's so many plays/gms in baseball... might consider starting smaller and give ur bankroll a chance to build...
"Hindsight is 20-20" .... how true lol
BoL~LoB :mj06:
Best of Luck to ya....
