Love to have some advice on middle play

[Coach Woody]

I bought the Packers early at -3.5. now up to 7.5. do I shoot for that middle and win both or let the Packers bet ride.

That is a big middle with at least 3 good numbers 4-6.7.

Part of me thinks the Packers blow out the 49ers but also could see the Packers defense letting me down again and 49ers keeping it close.


Would love to hear what others think and or would do. I am sure I am not the only one in this boat.

 

[whodey]

I bought the Packers early at -3.5. now up to 7.5. do I shoot for that middle and win both or let the Packers bet ride.

That is a big middle with at least 3 good numbers 4-6.7.

Part of me thinks the Packers blow out the 49ers but also could see the Packers defense letting me down again and 49ers keeping it close.


Would love to hear what others think and or would do. I am sure I am not the only one in this boat.

I'm in a similar boat, I have packer ml as last leg of parlay.. for what it's worth I'm playing the middle. If any team owns the pack it's the niners... Best of luck :toast:

 

[RBD]

With a four pt differential, and the key # of 7 in there - middle it.

"Also could see the Packers defense letting me down again and 49ers keeping it close."

Remember - it wasn't the D that only put up 22 vs Minn (a team that surrenders 30 PPG),
and 10 vs Tampa (a team the Giants scored TWICE as many against. THE GIANTS!)

Toss out teams, match-ups, and records. Play the numbers game, take the middle, buy SF.
On the other hand . . . think "Miami."
(Just messin' wit ya.)
Take the middle.

 

[Coach Woody]

Thanks for the advice RBD and whoday....

I was leaning on the middle play so think I will play it..... come on Packers by a TD.... That will be some weird rooting.....watch them go for two and win by eight because the kicker is hurt:facepalm::mj07::mj07::mj07:

 

[BASON]

Old man logic: you bet the game you liked at 3.5 why not sit back and enjoy since now you have to lay over a TD.

My logic, wait to see what happens.

In-game betting is a dangerous thing, but it is great for middles and hedging.

 

[Coach Woody]

Line went down to -6.5 so I am just going to sit on the -3.5.

I like it so sticking with it.... 4 and 6 are good numbers but without the 7 its hard to take

Just going to sit back and watch what should be. a great game.

 

[RBD]

I stopped by to say "Don't second guess yourself, you went with the right math, just got the wrong outcome."
But, just saw that you didn't hedge, so . . congrats!

 

[Coach Woody]

Thanks RBD.

I went to middle it and the number said a different thing. With only 4-6 as a middle I didn't think it had as much value so went next to my capping of the game and stuck with the original bet. Glad I did.