major line differences between the books and fightwriter

[nj]

i dont have any strong opinion on these bouts, hopefully someone here does. i noticed graham gave the dog significantly better chances than the books have on these bouts:

Benoit Gaudet -430
Alejandro Barrera +310

Gaudet -180
Barrera +140

and

Olivier Lontchi -380
Eduardo Garcia +260

Lontchi -150
Garcia +120


ideas? based on the difference alone, i took both dogs small. i suspect the man will play 1 one of these. the line should move to give me a buy-back, if not ill parlay the favs with juan diaz.

these bouts are on the undercard of my main man steve molitor. there could be value in molitor inside if it opens, he hits harder and with more frequency than his record indicates, he's jsut been in the ring with some steel-jawed mofos as of late.

 

[Zerwas]

I was about to start a thread myself.


After watching some clips of Gauduet, I took Barrera for 100 $ @+310 at 5dimes, he is already down to +230....I dont know if thats still worth a play....

Gaudet's chin sucks...take a look at his fight against Garza at youtube 4/4...he is also been stopped by a very mediocre fighter...

On the downside, I dont know much about Barrera.


Lontchi is a different thing though, he is undefeated and he won wide decisions against some pretty capable fighers like Carbajal...

He looks pretty tough and his opponent seems to be smaller, so no play for me here...

 

[Zerwas]

oh, and btw, I played under 11.5 Molitor , but only small...

 

[nj]

glad to see we're on the same page, zerwas

this promotiolnal piece gves me a sense of hope in garcia, though of course lontchi's people want to build him up as a challenge to sell tickets

edit direct link:admin
please do not post links to private owned or tout sites.

where did you find a line on molitor ov/und? id take the under myself at the right price.

 

[Ghost Kid]

agree with you guys, gaudet looks quite beatable.

but i don't think lontchi will lose...i'm using him in a few parlays.

what does everyone think on godfrey - nwodo ?

over-under is 11.5.

 

[Zerwas]

Graham sees this as a pretty competetive fight, I'm not so sure...Nwodo is 34 years old and coming off a vicious knockout, he has been stopped a couple of times...Godfrey by decision might be the obvious choice, but I've got a feelingt that this fight may go under...but I'm usually off with my under bets...

@night janitor
bodog has a line! -140!

 

[nj]

bodog isnt available to canada, sigh. but thanks for looking out, you got me onto betfair, i love live betting there.

ive found that bet365 posts ov/und lines very early, but they're too cautious without much value.