Marbury 'n Kidd (Round II)

[eztds]

I need to get ny act together after a shoddy 2-4 over the last 3 days!

LY...152-102-2 (59.84%)
YTD...24-9 (72.72%)
LN.....1-1

I think I've found just the cure with this rematch of the Nov. 27th game between NJ and Pho.

Here's my take:

-Last time Kidd had a horrible game with only 9 pts and 4 assists.

-Marbury wasn't much better with 12 pts but did have 12 assists.

-This contest proved to be a very intense affair between two well rested players....(Kidd on 4 days rest and Marbury coming in on 1 game in 3 days).

-Tonight we have a very fresh NJ team on 2 days rest....BUT....a very tired Pho team stumbl'n in to NJ on their 3rd game in 4 days after yesterday's loss to Memphis.

BET YA ALREADY SEE WHERE I'M HEADING HERE!

-Anyway, back on Nov. 27th....NJ was favored by 4' and lost by 7 (82 to 75) for a -11'........guess what tonight's line is?? 11' hummm

-I remember the total in that game on Nov. 27th was 177 because I had the under in that one......both teams only managed 157 pts. in that contest for an EZ winnah.

-However, tonight I think we'll see a faster paced game with the fresh NJ team on their home floor. Kidd will be "zoned" in after his poor performance in "Round I".

-The thing that's scary about the over 181' is the absence of Kittle's 12' ppg average.

-However, look at what these two teams have done since that Nov. 27th matchup.....

Pho has scored at least 90 in all 6 since NJ:

*94
*90
*90
*98
*102
*94

NJ has scored 90 or more 4 of 5 since Pho:

*118
*93
*95 <---Kittles goes down with knee in Port game
*87
*121

-Again as far as the total is concerned.....I wish Kittles was play'n tonight but counter balancing the loss of Kittles is a tired Suns team coming into NJ with an embarrassed Kidd from last Nov. 27th.

-This is NJ 3rd game since Kittles went down and NJ will find others able to pick it up with Kittles out of the lineup.

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-I really didn't expect a line this big (NJ -11').....tells me Vegas needs Sun's money.
-Also the total line at 181' was a bit higher than expected due to the 157 pts scored last time.

-Two plays on this game tonight.....

NJ -11'
Pho/NJ Over 181'

But what the heck do I know.....I'm on a 2-4 run!

"Strength and Honor" gentlemen. ez

 

[JEFF]

Great write up EZ. Something else I noticed is that NJ has won by 11 or more in something like 8 of 11 home games, while PHX on the road is 0-6 ATS and has lost by 11 or more in all but two games, including one ten-point loss.

In short, I'll probably be on the side and total with ya. GL! r

 

[gsp]

That's the way I see it. Even with the line this high, I show NJ with a +3 adv and over. Good luck today.

 

[no all]

good luck today
hope u go 2-0

 

[THUNDER]

nice reasoning ez nice job- glad to see you doing well

 

[raledet]

Missed your Portland 2nd half play

Missed your Portland 2nd half play

Did you post it somewhere else? I would have loved to break free with just juice from that disaster of a game.

 

[eztds]

raledet..............

raledet..............

the 4th post in my thread yesterday said.........

"Without the 3 balls......

Toronto would be in hugh trouble.

They just run the floor...stop...and stand around when they get the ball.

Foster just holds the ball, then gets too scared to shoot when he's wide open.

Not much flow to the Raptor offense"

I guess between these comments and getting my wager palced......I failed to specify:

Port pk 2H

So.....I'll adjust my record to 23-9 but my account knows what I played......which in the end is all that really matters.

Nobody really cares who's got the best record in here....people just want the next winning play.

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Lots of folks on NJ tonight.....just like yesterday's Port/Tor under!

FWIW.......the over was the larger play for me.

GL and thanks for the comments guys! ez

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

GL tonite. I'll ride along on NJ but looks like i'm too late on the Over so i'll just root it in. Dont wanna buy in after its moved almost 4 points.

 

[raledet]

NJ over is rising

NJ over is rising

It is at 185.5! Public is pounding it. That kind of scares me because the public is usally wrong. Let's hope for some fireworks with NJ and the over.

 

[thisisbad]

I got in late and got the over at 186 but still got a winner, thanks EZ

 

[MrChristo]

Nice hit, ez.