SEATTLE MARINERS +125 - No one could have imagined Carlos Silva being this big of a favorite over Joel Pineiro before this season started, but Silva is off to a 5-0 start with a 3.43 ERA while Pineiro is struggling along at 1-4 with a whopping 7.60 ERA. However, this is simply a case where I feel that one pitcher has been pitching over his head and the other has been underachieving, and I see some value at this price with the Mariners. This is a pitching rematch from last Wednesday, when Silva and the Twins bested Seattle 5-1. It should be pointed out though that only 3 of the runs charged to Pineiro were earned, and he has now recorded 5 Quality Starts in 7 career starts vs. Minnesota. Also, I am a believer in the ?pitcher rematch theory?, that states that when there is a rematch of starting pitchers in back-to-back starts, to play the losing pitcher in the first meeting the second time around. The logic here is that Major League batters know how to adjust after facing a pitcher that pitched well against them if they face him again soon thereafter, while a pitcher that struggled vs. an opponent also makes adjustments and usually improves the next time he faces them. Finally, it is also worth noting that the Mariners are 72-31, 69.9% in their last 103 road games on artificial turf, which in itself makes them a live dog here.
Mariners/Twins - 5/11/04
- Thread starter Eugene Michaels
- Start date
I'm actually on the other side of this one, but it is also interesting to note that as part of 72-31 record on turf in their last 103, they went through Minnesota 5-1 last year. Not really what I was looking to see.....:nono:
i agree that seat is a live dog, but i hope its not based soley on the re-match theory....i have got burned this yr just playing that. i will say however the game i was not on and it was a rematch it seems your theory holds up....more then not a good call but sometimes not soo good, which is why i am on boston tonight...u would think cc is also a live dog having just lost at home. but cle and seat are not that good this yr.....but i think u have a good pt, hope seat and boston take it to um tonight
gl
gl
Silva is off his face...it won't last too much longer...Ill take the +125 with the better pitcher.
