Maryland/Georgia Tech - 10/23/03

Eugene Michaels

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GEORGIA TECH +2.5 - The Yellow Jackets are 4-2-1 ATS this season, and the interesting aspect of this is that they were underdogs in all 4 covers! They continue to get no respect, turning up as a somewhat surprising home underdog here vs. an overrated Maryland team. Sure, Maryland is 5-2, but wins over Duke, Eastern Michigan, and The Citadel do not impress me, especially since they failed to cover against Duke and EMU. While Maryland has gone 2-4 ATS vs. a cream puff schedule, Georgia Tech has beaten the likes of NC State and Auburn, and they narrowly missed shocking Florida State in a heartbreaking 14-13 loss. Save for one bad game vs. a Clemson team that they apparently took too lightly, the Jackets have come to play every week, and I like them to get the outright victory again this evening.
 

g8torbert

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I agree 100% with all that you stated.

But!!!!!!!!!!

Why is maryland favored??????

Answer=The bookmakers want you to take ga tech.

As i always say, somebody knows something that i dont know, and im going with somebody..

good luck with the ramblin wreck as for me i will be riding the turtles
 

IrishFan

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I must admit I like GTech in this spot, but g8 has a very good point - the bookmakers want the public to take Gtech. I've seen this way too often, Maryland probably wins easily here....Myself I'm playing the Over 38. I got that line early in the day. Last I looked the line was moving up...

GL
 

RCDor

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For what its worth Fridgen said in the Washington Post today that Bruce Perry is the healthiest he has been all season.

QB McBrien has had his best two weeks of pratice they say and there is the belief that this will be his breakout game this sesaon after disappointing numbers compared to last season so far.
 

jody

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G8

G8

Why is maryland favored??????

Why is maryland favored??????

Answer=The bookmakers want you to take ga tech.


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G8 ever hear of reverse traps? How do we know everyone is not thinking like you and saying Tech looks to easy and they end up playing Maryland cause they got reverse trapped?

Besides to much emphasis is put on who bets who. Did you see the Wall Street Journal article that was posted in a study by MGM, Stardust, and Mandalay Bay sportsbooks? Study showed in the last decade or so the public beats the spread at a rate of 51% and the sportsbooks make the majority of their money by exotics (parlays, teasers, prop bets)

To many people read to much into a line. Fading the public is something everyone knows about but yet still not one gambler ever has been on the list of fortunes top 500 richest people in the world

If fading the public worked then teams like the New York Yankees would never make it to the world series, but rather you would see the Detroit Tigers and all the other shit teams the public doesnt bet on

Think about it folks
 

gardenweasel

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in my experience

in my experience

when a line is under a field goal,the books SEEM to be encouraging play on the favorite......

why not just make it -3?.......because the perception is that if you play the fave,you only have to win by a field goal.....

i see revrese psychology in the bowling green.niu game...looks to me like the book is trying to encourage some niu action....


i may be over-analyzing here :confused: :D
 

JohnHiRoller

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My perception of the 2.5 line particularly in the NFL. Is to take the 2.5 and the home team. I think the oddsmaker wants u to play the maryland -2.5, thinking it is only a field goal, and joe blow wins. I will take the 2.5 and the home team, virtually any day of the week. Good view points.



John.
 

ctownguy

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Eugene, nice info about the strength of schedule which I used in my thread also. Definitely feel the play is on GT and glad to be on the same side with you.

GL tonight:thumb:
 

g8torbert

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jody

you might just be right it could be a reverse trap

i hope your wrong though

i think it looks like the money will end up being split

mines on the terps though

id like to read that article if you have a link post it


good luck to all
 

badjab

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if one lesson can be taken away from the WVU/VT game last night, it's that home field advantage counts a lot more in college than it does in the pros.

Taking GT on the moneyline for 1 unit.
 
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