I posted 3 plays on the Mavs yesterday:
1st half, 2nd half, and game overs. All hitting nicely.
I've followed the above model for the past week and have been pretty successful betting Dallas overs.
Tonight, I'm going against the grain and what has been successful for me recently.
Almost every stat and trend I looked at points to the over here. Dallas is averaging 103.6 points per game while yielding 99.7 points per game. 8 out of their last 10 games have gone over the total, including the last 4 games. 4 out of the last 5 Houston games have hit the over. Dallas has hit 100 points in 8 of their last 10. I could go on and on. The last time Dallas did not hit the over was against Orlando on the road, in a 113-87 loss. I'm counting on an off night from one of these teams here. Both the Rockets and Mavs are coming off a game last night. Houston is coming off of a road trip and has played 5 games in their last 7. Most people like the total to go over in a back to back situation because of tired legs. Here, I'm looking for tired legs to mean a lot of bricks. Both teams throw up a lot of 3's so I'm counting on misses. I'm throwing the stats out the window on this one and will go out on a limb and say the under is due here. I'm going with my gut on this one and one thing I usually kick myself for is going against my gut...I can't do it here.
Mavs/Rockets under 204 1 unit play
Mavs/Rockets under 102 1st half 1 unit play
If anything else jumps out, I'll be back.
Good luck with whatever you play.
1st half, 2nd half, and game overs. All hitting nicely.
I've followed the above model for the past week and have been pretty successful betting Dallas overs.
Tonight, I'm going against the grain and what has been successful for me recently.
Almost every stat and trend I looked at points to the over here. Dallas is averaging 103.6 points per game while yielding 99.7 points per game. 8 out of their last 10 games have gone over the total, including the last 4 games. 4 out of the last 5 Houston games have hit the over. Dallas has hit 100 points in 8 of their last 10. I could go on and on. The last time Dallas did not hit the over was against Orlando on the road, in a 113-87 loss. I'm counting on an off night from one of these teams here. Both the Rockets and Mavs are coming off a game last night. Houston is coming off of a road trip and has played 5 games in their last 7. Most people like the total to go over in a back to back situation because of tired legs. Here, I'm looking for tired legs to mean a lot of bricks. Both teams throw up a lot of 3's so I'm counting on misses. I'm throwing the stats out the window on this one and will go out on a limb and say the under is due here. I'm going with my gut on this one and one thing I usually kick myself for is going against my gut...I can't do it here.
Mavs/Rockets under 204 1 unit play
Mavs/Rockets under 102 1st half 1 unit play
If anything else jumps out, I'll be back.
Good luck with whatever you play.
