First off....anything i say about Michigan needs the disclaimer that i am a life long, die hard Wolverine fan....and that i might be still a little tipsy from Saturday's overdue beat down of the Irish.
But, yes, Big Blue needs to be on letdown alert. They are 2-9 ATS coming off a straight up win as an underdog. I will say that Carr and company have been focusing on this three week stretch of "revenge" games, so the boys will be ready to play, but dont overlook the Badgers. Wisconsin never shows anything during pre-conference games. The Badgers had been 11-4 in Big 10 openers and 11-4 as road dogs under Alvarez, can that continue with a new coach?
The margin of victory in this series the last five games have been 3 ('05 the only Wisco win in this quick sample of games), 7, 3, 3 and 5 and the two times before that were 17 and 10, so getting +14 should at worst keep you in the ballgame if past history holds up.
Obviously, CWood is onto something with over. Total points in the last 7 games in the series: 43, 35, 37, 23, 37, 37 and 42.
Since Michigan has lost four straight games that i have attended and i will be in Big House come Saturday, you might want to consider the Wisco moneyline:142smilie Hopefully that trends stops, however!!!!