MIZZU & TEXAS A&M

[GOGATORS]

PLEASE FORGIVE MY IGNORANCE BUT IS THE ONLY THING I HAVE AN ABUNDANCE OF. THE LINE ON THIS GAME WITH MY BOOK IS A&M -3.5 AND I JUST CAN'T SEEM TO JUSTIFY THIS LINE. I KNOW THIS FORUM CONTAINS MANY GREAT AND ENLIGHTENED MINDS AND WAS HOPING THAT SOMEONE WOULD BE KIND ENOUGH TO ENLIGHTEN ME. ALL HELP IS GREATLY APPRECIATED. :shrug:

 

[Betone]

Mizzou........has not played the same strength of schedule as Texas aggies. They pulled out a 3 point victory over San diego st? There run defense allows 149 yards per game vs lower ranked opponents. And is there first road game of the year........all of those components lead to the current line, which I am leaning towards the texas aggies...........hope this helps, GL

 

[GOGATORS]

Betone, thank you

Betone, thank you

i greatly appreciate the insight. The research i have done myself agrees with your comment on the strength of schedule. Mizzu has not played a top 25 team to date and A&M has faced one with their lose to Arky last week. Looking at both of their overall rankings in the FBS it just doesn't seem to be that great of a difference between the two. I was thinking the line should be more of a pick. I would definitely give the edge to the Aggies in the rankings as an average of all the categories but, both teams are ranked 26Th and 27Th in points for and there appears to be a pretty big gap between points against. Mizzu is ranked third overall in this category and the Aggies are ranked 41st. I think it is this category that has me questioning the line. The other factor in my thought process is that Mizzu beat a relatively good Illinois team and Texas just couldn't seem to pull it off (stop their offense) in the end against Oky st and Arky when it truly matters. My next question is do you see this as a very strong play for you or just a game that vegas has got nailed down.

 

[atmswim]

i greatly appreciate the insight. The research i have done myself agrees with your comment on the strength of schedule. Mizzu has not played a top 25 team to date and A&M has faced one with their lose to Arky last week. Looking at both of their overall rankings in the FBS it just doesn't seem to be that great of a difference between the two. I was thinking the line should be more of a pick. I would definitely give the edge to the Aggies in the rankings as an average of all the categories but, both teams are ranked 26Th and 27Th in points for and there appears to be a pretty big gap between points against. Mizzu is ranked third overall in this category and the Aggies are ranked 41st. I think it is this category that has me questioning the line. The other factor in my thought process is that Mizzu beat a relatively good Illinois team and Texas just couldn't seem to pull it off (stop their offense) in the end against Oky st and Arky when it truly matters. My next question is do you see this as a very strong play for you or just a game that vegas has got nailed down.

This is the first Big XII game at Kyle field this year and after two close road losses (which never occurred last year) I think my Ags are going to be fired up for this game. The defense is much better than last year and the offense has flashes of brillance. We still have a young secondary that got burned a couple of times this year but has improve dramatically since last year. I was extremely surprised to see that Arkansas with Mallet at the helm only scored 24 points last week. The only concern I have is if Jerrod Johnson can stop turning over the ball. If you look at the FIU and Ok St. we had a total of 10 TOs (8 interceptios). Last week against Arkansas it looked like Johnson had figured it out as he only had one interception which was on the last play of the game. I see Johnson playing well this weekend and Michael running over a 100 yards on a defense that is unproven. Also, Kyle field is going to be crazy this weekend with 90K plus fans!!

 

[joefrog91]

If this game was in Missouri, I would side with them. However, A&M's defense has played well on the road in tough losses. At home, they are going to play great. A&M at home is a different animal.

 

[Betone]

i greatly appreciate the insight. The research i have done myself agrees with your comment on the strength of schedule. Mizzu has not played a top 25 team to date and A&M has faced one with their lose to Arky last week. Looking at both of their overall rankings in the FBS it just doesn't seem to be that great of a difference between the two. I was thinking the line should be more of a pick. I would definitely give the edge to the Aggies in the rankings as an average of all the categories but, both teams are ranked 26Th and 27Th in points for and there appears to be a pretty big gap between points against. Mizzu is ranked third overall in this category and the Aggies are ranked 41st. I think it is this category that has me questioning the line. The other factor in my thought process is that Mizzu beat a relatively good Illinois team and Texas just couldn't seem to pull it off (stop their offense) in the end against Oky st and Arky when it truly matters. My next question is do you see this as a very strong play for you or just a game that vegas has got nailed down.

is just a normal play for me, not laying a ton of money on it. Is just my capping of the game. If you feel strongly the other way? do not let me or anyone else talk you off your bet. GL this weekend:toast:

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

Mizzou ML :0074

A&M is better this yr but Mizzou is the better team in this match up....GL :0corn

 

[Dr. Fade]

Neither team has impressed me this year and I have watched most of each teams games. Mizzou is prime for a loss and I would expect it to happen on Saturday @ A&M. I bought A&M down to -3 for a avg. play. QB Gabbert is banged up and MU's D is not as good as the score indicated last week. With that said, A&M's QB makes a shitload of bad decisions or I would like A&M in this spot even more.

 

[GOGATORS]

IGNORANCE IS BLISS MIZZU AND TEXAS A&M

IGNORANCE IS BLISS MIZZU AND TEXAS A&M

END OF THE THIRD QUARTER AND THE SCORE IS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
MIZZU 30

TEXAS A&M 3

WANTED TO SAY THANK YOU TO ALL THAT WERE KIND ENOUGH TO POST ON THIS THREAD AND SHARE THERE INSIGHT. I ADMIRE ALL OF THE CAPPERS IN THIS THREAD (I HAVE FOLLOWED ALL OF YOU FROM TIME TO TIME) AND WISH ALL OF YOU THE BEST OF LUCK THIS WEEKEND. AFTER LAST WEEKEND ITS TIME TO GET SOME BACK FROM THE FAT HEADS IN VEGEAS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO SHARE YA'LLS INSIGHT IT HELPS A LOT OF PEOPLE (MORE THAN YOU WILL EVER REALIZE) MAKE GOOD MONEY. ONCE AGAIN THANK YOU :toast: