Overall Second Half (July 1st & After)
15-8-1 +15.90 Units
Two plays today, both seem to be contrarian plays..........Here goes:
NY Mets -118
Risking 2.36 units to win 2.00 units
Al Leiter is a much better pitcher at home as are most, but it is a world of difference. At Shea his ERA is 2.18, very nice. Boston, because of injuries are going to have a tuff time scoring runs. Also, they have a decision to make with Dante Bichette since he can't DH. In the field he is miserable. Wakefield has allowed 7 Earned Runs in 12 IP on his last two starts which were both on the road, plus he has allowed 20 total baserunners in those two starts. I will take the home team with Leiter at this deflated price.
LA Dodgers Vs. Oak A's Over 9 +100
Risking 2.50 units to win 2.50 units
Terry Adams on the road is the main reason behind this play. For some reason he is just not comfortable at all away from Chavez Ravine. These are his away stats:
32.2IP 26 ER 16 BB 7.16 ERA
His control on the road is just horrible compared to at home. At home he has allowed only 5 BB in 38.0 IP. 11 more walks on the road in 5.1 less IP. Plus, outside of Jeff Shaw, that Dodgers bullpen is good for a couple of runs on a nightly basis. The Dodgers hit lefties very well because of their right hand dominant lineup. So, Mulder being a lefty should be vulnerable to giving up a couple of runs. FWIW, which to me isn't much the wind looks to be blowing out to right center between 10-15 mph. Although this variable doesn't hurt either.
Good luck all,
HC
15-8-1 +15.90 Units
Two plays today, both seem to be contrarian plays..........Here goes:
NY Mets -118
Risking 2.36 units to win 2.00 units
Al Leiter is a much better pitcher at home as are most, but it is a world of difference. At Shea his ERA is 2.18, very nice. Boston, because of injuries are going to have a tuff time scoring runs. Also, they have a decision to make with Dante Bichette since he can't DH. In the field he is miserable. Wakefield has allowed 7 Earned Runs in 12 IP on his last two starts which were both on the road, plus he has allowed 20 total baserunners in those two starts. I will take the home team with Leiter at this deflated price.
LA Dodgers Vs. Oak A's Over 9 +100
Risking 2.50 units to win 2.50 units
Terry Adams on the road is the main reason behind this play. For some reason he is just not comfortable at all away from Chavez Ravine. These are his away stats:
32.2IP 26 ER 16 BB 7.16 ERA
His control on the road is just horrible compared to at home. At home he has allowed only 5 BB in 38.0 IP. 11 more walks on the road in 5.1 less IP. Plus, outside of Jeff Shaw, that Dodgers bullpen is good for a couple of runs on a nightly basis. The Dodgers hit lefties very well because of their right hand dominant lineup. So, Mulder being a lefty should be vulnerable to giving up a couple of runs. FWIW, which to me isn't much the wind looks to be blowing out to right center between 10-15 mph. Although this variable doesn't hurt either.
Good luck all,
HC
