Folks, I know most of the cappers watch the lines and which direction they move and also who the public is on and why the line moves with them or against, but there is also another angle that many utilize and many do not. For those that do not utilize this angle, think about it for a second.
What teams are regarded as public teams, meaning what teams draw in the most action on a given day and do those money moves mean anything or not? This angle is vital if you are capping baseball.
The teams that get a huge influx of money because they have a public following are:
Orioles, hence yesterday 50 cent drop, today, 30 cent drop, Toronto favored in both, Toronto had a 5 zip lead and just about coughed up the victory last night.
Dodgers, another huge public team, line steamed with Kershaw on the hill vs Texas and the large favorite lost straight up.
Boston Red Sox, another large public team, and they are moving the line down again today vs KC.
Cincy Reds, a middle of the pack large public following because of the baby boomers that followed them when they were the Big Red Machine.
Cubbies, the lovable losers trying to break the billy goat curse they opened big favs over Twins today and yesterday, yet the line moved for them yesterday and against them today vs the small market Twins.
Yankees, both they and Detroit have a large public following, but more money put on Bronx Bombers as much as any team on any given day.
Mets, another strong public following with a shitty manager and has been front office exec, as a fav of -140 or more this season, one of the worse records in MLB Straight up.
Giants, moving from Brooklyn to the West Coast, still have a very strong following and won 3 World Series in last 7 years, the lines in their games typically move 10-30 cents depending if they are a small dog or medium favorite with Maddy on the mound, any other pitcher they are status quo, yet as a dog, they beat the line more often than naught, but as a fav of -160 or more, they are a losing proposition.
Angels, strong public following, second to the Dodgers, they have a fading pitching staff with aged vet J Weaver, an upcoming talent in Richards who's usually over priced, and two middle of the road pitchers in Shoemaker who was tough last year as a dog but this year sucks and Santiago who never gets any run support and loses many 1 run games.
These are not plays folks, just sharing some info that could help in determining why a line move goes the way it does. In the long run 30 cent or high moves the last 5 years winning % is 58% and plus slightly 1.12 units per 1.00 unit wager, earning you 12 cents on the dollar.
Totals of less than 7 runs the last 5 years are 44% over and 56% under with 8 pushes.
Run totals of 10 1/2 or higher the last 5 years are 51% over and 49% under with 7 pushes.
GLE!
:0003
What teams are regarded as public teams, meaning what teams draw in the most action on a given day and do those money moves mean anything or not? This angle is vital if you are capping baseball.
The teams that get a huge influx of money because they have a public following are:
Orioles, hence yesterday 50 cent drop, today, 30 cent drop, Toronto favored in both, Toronto had a 5 zip lead and just about coughed up the victory last night.
Dodgers, another huge public team, line steamed with Kershaw on the hill vs Texas and the large favorite lost straight up.
Boston Red Sox, another large public team, and they are moving the line down again today vs KC.
Cincy Reds, a middle of the pack large public following because of the baby boomers that followed them when they were the Big Red Machine.
Cubbies, the lovable losers trying to break the billy goat curse they opened big favs over Twins today and yesterday, yet the line moved for them yesterday and against them today vs the small market Twins.
Yankees, both they and Detroit have a large public following, but more money put on Bronx Bombers as much as any team on any given day.
Mets, another strong public following with a shitty manager and has been front office exec, as a fav of -140 or more this season, one of the worse records in MLB Straight up.
Giants, moving from Brooklyn to the West Coast, still have a very strong following and won 3 World Series in last 7 years, the lines in their games typically move 10-30 cents depending if they are a small dog or medium favorite with Maddy on the mound, any other pitcher they are status quo, yet as a dog, they beat the line more often than naught, but as a fav of -160 or more, they are a losing proposition.
Angels, strong public following, second to the Dodgers, they have a fading pitching staff with aged vet J Weaver, an upcoming talent in Richards who's usually over priced, and two middle of the road pitchers in Shoemaker who was tough last year as a dog but this year sucks and Santiago who never gets any run support and loses many 1 run games.
These are not plays folks, just sharing some info that could help in determining why a line move goes the way it does. In the long run 30 cent or high moves the last 5 years winning % is 58% and plus slightly 1.12 units per 1.00 unit wager, earning you 12 cents on the dollar.
Totals of less than 7 runs the last 5 years are 44% over and 56% under with 8 pushes.
Run totals of 10 1/2 or higher the last 5 years are 51% over and 49% under with 7 pushes.
GLE!
:0003
