Montreal is going with starting pitcher, Javier Vazquez, who last year emerged as one of the best pitchers in the league. Vazquez, in 33 games started last year, had a WHIP of just 1.08 and in his first start this year, pitched very well, although he did not get a decision.
Vazquez also pitches better on the road and away from the dome.
Last year batters hit just .235 vs Vazquez and he shouldn't have a problem vs this Cincinnati team. Cincy, who was one of the worse teams in the league last year at home, is starting the same trend. Through their first 5 games this year, the Reds are batting just .233 as a team and averaging just 3.2 earned runs per game.
Hamilton, who is starting for the Reds, had a shaky first start on opening day. He did not get a decision, but in 5 innings pitched, he allowed 7 hits and walked 5 while giving up 2 earned runs.
Hamilton, who was not even on the roster in spring training, is not a top notch pitcher by far. Last year batters hit for a whopping .338 average and Hamilton had a huge WHIP last year of 2.4
Hamilton did start against the Expos once last year and they rocked him for 8 hits and 4 runs in just 4 innings. Vazquez did not have any starts vs Cincy last year.
Home plate ump Charlie Reliford, who was known for a smaller than average strikezone last year, should benefit Vazquez more than Hamilton. Vazquez has much better control.
On top of all the pitching stats, Vazquez is one of the best hitting pitchers in the league. Last year he batted .258, while Hamilton is just a career .116 hitter.
The only downside to this game is I believe Vidro is doubtful for the Expos.
Good Luck!!