63-65, +4271
The Philly play was because Perez has been relatively inconsistent and Wolf has been pitching strikes but just getting bad breaks. The Philly pen has been less than great recently but they have talent and most of the key guys should be rested. Plain and simple, I also like Philly's lineup better, and they are at home trying to prevent a sweep.
One more play today.
Tampa Bay +210 over BOSTON 400/840
Nomo has struggled his last two times out and his career pattern has been to go through streaks of bad pitching. Lopez has been getting bad breaks from his defense and bullpen. After calling them out publicly after his last start, I expect better play from both. Tampa has been scoring plenty of runs and last night was the third game in the last 3 vs. Boston that they had a good chance to win. Both bullpens have been used quite a bit so the starting pitching advantage is enough to take Tampa here.