MLB WED 042909 early thoughts - value hunting

[axp59]

Let's start with these. There could be one or two more. I also know these won't be popular picks but I'm not just trying to find winners but also value.

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 126pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=168 border=0 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 126pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 6144" width=168><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 126pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=168 height=17>Cleveland +112</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:str=" "></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>Detroit +125</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:str=" "></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>Philadelphia -176</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:str=" "></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>Houston +130</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:str=" "></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17>Toronto +136

LA Dodgers +134​

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BOL as always

_____

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 228pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=303 border=0 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 113pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 5485" width=150><COL style="WIDTH: 16pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 768" width=21><COL style="WIDTH: 11pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 548" width=15><COL style="WIDTH: 33pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1609" width=44><COL style="WIDTH: 29pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1389" width=38><COL style="WIDTH: 26pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1280" width=35><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 113pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=150 height=17></TD><TD class=xl24 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 16pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=21>W</TD><TD class=xl24 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 11pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=15>L</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 33pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=44 x:fmla="=SUM($B$3:B7)/SUM($B$3:C7)" x:num="0.625">62.5%</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 29pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=38>Units</TD><TD class=xl31 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 26pt; COLOR: green; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style" width=35 x:fmla="=SUM($E$3:E7)" x:num>7.81</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17></TD><TD class=xl24 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=SUM(B3:B7)" x:num>15</TD><TD class=xl24 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=SUM(C3:C7)" x:num>9</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD><TD class=xl24 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="39931">Tuesday, April 28, 2009</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>2</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=B3/(B3+C3)" x:num="0.33333333333333331">33.3%</TD><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; COLOR: red; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style; mso-background-source: auto; mso-pattern: auto" x:num>-1.16</TD><TD class=xl29 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="39930">Monday, April 27, 2009</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>4</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=B4/(B4+C4)" x:num="0.8">80.0%</TD><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; COLOR: green; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style" x:num>3.93</TD><TD class=xl29 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="39929">Sunday, April 26, 2009</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>3</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=B5/(B5+C5)" x:num="0.25">25.0%</TD><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; COLOR: red; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style; mso-background-source: auto; mso-pattern: auto" x:fmla="=-1-0.89-0.64+1" x:num>-1.53</TD><TD class=xl29 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="39928">Saturday, April 25, 2009</TD><TD class=xl25 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>6</TD><TD class=xl25 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=B6/(B6+C6)" x:num="0.8571428571428571">85.7%</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; COLOR: green; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style" x:num>5.48</TD><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="39927">Friday, April 24, 2009</TD><TD class=xl25 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>3</TD><TD class=xl25 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>2</TD><TD class=xl26 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:fmla="=B7/(B7+C7)" x:num="0.6">60.0%</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; COLOR: green; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; mso-ignore: style" x:num>1.09</TD><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Eagle123]

BOL to us Ax!!

 

[BadAngel]

ax, I like that Tor play. Just waiting till my day games to shake out today.

GL

 

[softballmaniac]

Morning Ax, Great to see you posting here everyday. Lets get um today!! P.S. Hope that info from some of the boys helped you out with the taping (spackling). 24 yrs experience as a carpenter if you need to pick a brain!! :toast:

 

[axp59]

BOL to us Ax!!

BOL Eagle.

 

[axp59]

ax, I like that Tor play. Just waiting till my day games to shake out today.

GL

Thanks BadAngel. This is going to be my POD. I think this is great value @ +135 +. BOL

 

[axp59]

Morning Ax, Great to see you posting here everyday. Lets get um today!! P.S. Hope that info from some of the boys helped you out with the taping (spackling). 24 yrs experience as a carpenter if you need to pick a brain!! :toast:

Thank you sir. The thinning of the compound tip was very helpful. I have another layer to finish up but everything is coming together nicely. I can go back to working now. May even post some NBA plays today. From tearing down the wall to finishing by this Friday, it's been almost 2 months. If you don't mind, I just added you on my list as a resource under "skilled carpenter". Thanks pal and BOL

 

[uwmattyk13]

Quick Question AX. Since I've only been betting dogs since the season started, I am unsure what to do when a favorite pops up. Are you betting 1u to win less than 1u or are you betting more than 1u in order to win 1u? Thanks bud

 

[noropin]

axp59,
Not sure , but are u playing the six teams above ? or choosing the ones with the most value?

 

[axp59]

Quick Question AX. Since I've only been betting dogs since the season started, I am unsure what to do when a favorite pops up. Are you betting 1u to win less than 1u or are you betting more than 1u in order to win 1u? Thanks bud

When betting favs, I lay the juice to win 1U. hope that helps pal. BOL

 

[axp59]

axp59,
Not sure , but are u playing the six teams above ? or choosing the ones with the most value?

When I post plays on this thread, they are locked. I think that TOR is my POD if I had to pick just one.

 

[uwmattyk13]

When betting favs, I lay the juice to win 1U. hope that helps pal. BOL

it does, thank you very much

 

[axp59]

my pleasure pal

 

[easterntimezone]

When I post plays on this thread, they are locked. I think that TOR is my POD if I had to pick just one.

Best of luck Ax... :toast:

 

[axp59]

Thanks ETZ, BOL to you sir

 

[softballmaniac]

Thank you sir. The thinning of the compound tip was very helpful. I have another layer to finish up but everything is coming together nicely. I can go back to working now. May even post some NBA plays today. From tearing down the wall to finishing by this Friday, it's been almost 2 months. If you don't mind, I just added you on my list as a resource under "skilled carpenter". Thanks pal and BOL

That had me laughing Ax. Much respect for you. My dad was a marine. Actually will be for the rest of his life. Thats the way it will always be. Thanx for serving!!! BOL today and always:toast:

 

[Slicer]

Betting against the Red Sox and with Carmona on the mound is bold set of brass balls my friend, best of luck to ya though, Boston is my POD

 

[axp59]

Betting against the Red Sox and with Carmona on the mound is bold set of brass balls my friend, best of luck to ya though, Boston is my POD

Betting
against Lester
against Joba
against Greinke
against Lincecum

did I miss anyone LOL. I knew these picks weren't going to be a big hit. BOL pal.

 

[axp59]

That had me laughing Ax. Much respect for you. My dad was a marine. Actually will be for the rest of his life. Thats the way it will always be. Thanx for serving!!! BOL today and always:toast:

Thanks pal. here's me trying to be a handyman

 

[Joe_Vienna]

BOL :toast:
Joe