sun:6-4-1 +4.43
July:78-43-7 +44.49
-
ml:37-17 +28.45 (faves:23-9 +13.46) (dogs:14-8 +14.99)
rl:18-10-1 +9.18 (NL:8-7-1 +0.41) (AL:10-3 +8.77) // (V:6-4 +1.91) (H:12-6-1 +7.27)
totals:6-8-5 -3.54 (ov:4-1-3 +2.95) (un:2-7-2 -6.49)
team totals:2-1 +1.0 (ov:2-1 +1.0)
1st5:12-5-1 +6.81 (faves:7-4-1 +2.76) (dogs:4-1 +3.05) (un:1-0 +1.0)
parlays:3-2 +2.59
=====
Forgive the rant, yesterday.
I'll try to stick to baseball, at least in this forum.
Phillies -117 2.34/2
reds +106 1/1.06
Blue Jays -1.5 +105 2/2.1
tigers +155 1/1.55
---Blanton's 1st vs...he's been nothing special at home but has been moderately decent lately; Hammel was poor vs in 1GS, 1BP (no'10), poor on the road and so-so lately...I've done pretty well over the years fading him and I don't think he brings much to the plate; hard not to back the sweep as the rox are 12-21 on the road to R while Phil is 25-11 at home to R, OPS last 7 days was .793 for Phil and .642 for col (espn, usually a day out-dated), and Phil is showing some momentum to get back into the race; ump Wolf an under-lean--certainly this year--otherwise I'd consider over9...wind likely in from left-center at 11mph also
---Arroyo's been good vs especially at Miller in 7 starts (no '010 meetings), he's been good on the road and very good lately save for his last at Washington; Wolf has been good vs but with no meetings this season where the reds are finally showing some life (save Sunday...ouch!), he's been nothing special at home and was just pathetic in his last, at Pitt--this after a so-so run...he is majorly susceptible to the long-ball this season but word is wind in from center at 8mph, which may not save him at Miller; kind of questionable with the reds joke of a showing Sunday--also against a lefty, the Brewers current hot run, and 7-day OPS comparison of Mil .876 and cin .756 (same espn)...I just like the SP and BP edges in this one
---Morrow (very good in his last, at Balt) has been very good at home while Bergesen (poor vs in 4 especially home vs, including 2 home vs this year) will likely see none of my money unless he starts driving a taxi; Jays .804 last 7 days while balt was .684; balt .681 on the road '10 while Jays have been .808 at home (vs .716 road); Jays 21-12 home to R while balt is 7-21 on the road to R; also have o's at 70% of road losses being by 2+, and Jays at 78% of home wins being by 2+, likely due to their closer problems this season (I think league average is close to 70%, actually...I'll have to funk around and confirm that before '011, methinks)
---tigers sure aren't road warriors, and they lost Ordonez to injury on Saturday, but they remain in the race and I'd say that Scherzer (1st vs) has been much better than Garza (shit vs in 6...a little better in 3 home vs) lately; Rays--surprisingly--doing much better on the road this season, also, as evidenced by their 16-15 record at home to R...they're just returning from a long road trip, too, for whatever that's worth--some claim it as a fade angle; tigers 10-4 vs the East
I was considering KC but I figure that the price will only improve if I want to toss such a coin (currently -101...hmmm...now +102). Greinke, though pretty good lately, has been shit in 2 vs '010 (both at) while Liriano has been crap in 3 at (no'010). Coin toss it seems, as mentioned.
Same with White Sox, as Danks--good all season--has been great in 2 vs '010 while Felix has been nothing special in 4 at the Cell. Neither team hitting well, lately, and it appear to be another coin-toss what with Chi also returning from a long road trip and the M's winning a whopping 2-in-a-row!
Also tempted by the marlins but the price is nowhere close to what I want (currently +122). Both SP's are very good vs. Marlins preferring lefties this year, including 7-6 on the road, and the Giants are returning from a week-long road trip, but they are pretty hot at 8-2 last 10 (fish 7-3) and they are 21-12 at home to R and 15-7 vs the East. +140, minimum, which we likely won't see.
Almost forgot about these guys...got some somewhere--at least Easter Everywhere--just none on my hard drive:
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July:78-43-7 +44.49
-
ml:37-17 +28.45 (faves:23-9 +13.46) (dogs:14-8 +14.99)
rl:18-10-1 +9.18 (NL:8-7-1 +0.41) (AL:10-3 +8.77) // (V:6-4 +1.91) (H:12-6-1 +7.27)
totals:6-8-5 -3.54 (ov:4-1-3 +2.95) (un:2-7-2 -6.49)
team totals:2-1 +1.0 (ov:2-1 +1.0)
1st5:12-5-1 +6.81 (faves:7-4-1 +2.76) (dogs:4-1 +3.05) (un:1-0 +1.0)
parlays:3-2 +2.59
=====
Forgive the rant, yesterday.
I'll try to stick to baseball, at least in this forum.
Phillies -117 2.34/2
reds +106 1/1.06
Blue Jays -1.5 +105 2/2.1
tigers +155 1/1.55
---Blanton's 1st vs...he's been nothing special at home but has been moderately decent lately; Hammel was poor vs in 1GS, 1BP (no'10), poor on the road and so-so lately...I've done pretty well over the years fading him and I don't think he brings much to the plate; hard not to back the sweep as the rox are 12-21 on the road to R while Phil is 25-11 at home to R, OPS last 7 days was .793 for Phil and .642 for col (espn, usually a day out-dated), and Phil is showing some momentum to get back into the race; ump Wolf an under-lean--certainly this year--otherwise I'd consider over9...wind likely in from left-center at 11mph also
---Arroyo's been good vs especially at Miller in 7 starts (no '010 meetings), he's been good on the road and very good lately save for his last at Washington; Wolf has been good vs but with no meetings this season where the reds are finally showing some life (save Sunday...ouch!), he's been nothing special at home and was just pathetic in his last, at Pitt--this after a so-so run...he is majorly susceptible to the long-ball this season but word is wind in from center at 8mph, which may not save him at Miller; kind of questionable with the reds joke of a showing Sunday--also against a lefty, the Brewers current hot run, and 7-day OPS comparison of Mil .876 and cin .756 (same espn)...I just like the SP and BP edges in this one
---Morrow (very good in his last, at Balt) has been very good at home while Bergesen (poor vs in 4 especially home vs, including 2 home vs this year) will likely see none of my money unless he starts driving a taxi; Jays .804 last 7 days while balt was .684; balt .681 on the road '10 while Jays have been .808 at home (vs .716 road); Jays 21-12 home to R while balt is 7-21 on the road to R; also have o's at 70% of road losses being by 2+, and Jays at 78% of home wins being by 2+, likely due to their closer problems this season (I think league average is close to 70%, actually...I'll have to funk around and confirm that before '011, methinks)
---tigers sure aren't road warriors, and they lost Ordonez to injury on Saturday, but they remain in the race and I'd say that Scherzer (1st vs) has been much better than Garza (shit vs in 6...a little better in 3 home vs) lately; Rays--surprisingly--doing much better on the road this season, also, as evidenced by their 16-15 record at home to R...they're just returning from a long road trip, too, for whatever that's worth--some claim it as a fade angle; tigers 10-4 vs the East
I was considering KC but I figure that the price will only improve if I want to toss such a coin (currently -101...hmmm...now +102). Greinke, though pretty good lately, has been shit in 2 vs '010 (both at) while Liriano has been crap in 3 at (no'010). Coin toss it seems, as mentioned.
Same with White Sox, as Danks--good all season--has been great in 2 vs '010 while Felix has been nothing special in 4 at the Cell. Neither team hitting well, lately, and it appear to be another coin-toss what with Chi also returning from a long road trip and the M's winning a whopping 2-in-a-row!
Also tempted by the marlins but the price is nowhere close to what I want (currently +122). Both SP's are very good vs. Marlins preferring lefties this year, including 7-6 on the road, and the Giants are returning from a week-long road trip, but they are pretty hot at 8-2 last 10 (fish 7-3) and they are 21-12 at home to R and 15-7 vs the East. +140, minimum, which we likely won't see.
Almost forgot about these guys...got some somewhere--at least Easter Everywhere--just none on my hard drive:
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