Monday 04

Frogy

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From JOe BB
Boucher has lost last 4 away games.
Dafoe is 7-2-1 in last 10 at home. (lost to Stl and Tor)
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Dont forget to read mugs thread for more info on this game I wont go into the papers articles ?cose he does it so well.
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Philadelphia has a road dog is 11-3 and in those games they are 4 over and 8 under.
In road game where the total is at 5.5 they are 6 over and 10 under.
Philadelphia after loosing to an inferior team is 12-3 and in those games 8 over and 5 under. In the second half of the season they are 11 over and 7 under.
Boucher should be in net,Roman Cechmanek is on the injury list.. He played bad against the Rangers two days ago, never like Boucher but, after a slow start he was playing better since returning from the injury that put him aside
Flyers is decent 19-10-3 ATS on the road this season.
Philadelphia is 15-3 ATS after a loss and they are 8-1 on the road after a loss this year, Philadelphia is 11-3 ATS as a road dog.

Philadelphia on the road shut on goal success ratio 10.2%
Philadelphia on the road in the last 5 games shuts on goal success ratio 12.2%
Philadelphia on the road power play success ratio 11.8%
Philadelphia on the road in the last 5 games power play success ratio 11%
Average shut on goal in the last 5 games overall 28.8
Average shuts against in last 5 games overall 25.2

RECENT MARCHUP
3 over and 1 P
Home team won 2 and road team won 2, Both teams won on the road.
Over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.

Boston at home against defense <2.35 is 2 loss and 1 win
Boston at home against off> 2.70 and def <2.35 is 2 loss and 2 over
Playing against off over 2,90 nothing emerges.
Boston at home shut on goal success ratio 9.7%
Boston at home in the last 4 games shuts on goal success ratio 9%
Boston at home power play success ratio 13.30%
Boston at home in the last 4 games power play success ratio 20%
Average shut on goal in the last 5 games overall 25.60
Average shuts against in last 5 games overall 28.4
Boston in last 5 game ave 2.40 goals for whit an high of 3 and low of 2

Bruins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games.
Under is 3-1 in BOS's last four home games.
Boston in a home game where the total is at (5.5) 6 win and 3 loss and in those games 7 over and 2 under, in the second half of the season they are 14 over and 7 under, revenging a home loss versus opponent 6-2. Boston at home is 17 over and 9 under
Philadelphia away when scoring 2 goals or less 3-8
Philadelphia away when scoring 3 goals or more is 16-2
Boston at home allowing 3 goals or less are 13-3
Boston at home allowing 4 goals or more 2-8

Boston at home when scoring 3 goals or less 6-10
Boston at home when scoring 3 goals or more 13-1
Philadelphia away when allowing 3 goals or less 15-4
Philadelphia away allowing 4 goals or more 0-6

Early lean phila and the over althought Boucher record on the road doesn't look good.
No decision yet???????
 

Frogy

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Toronto in a road game + total at 5.5 = 7 over ? 3 under

Toronto when playing against a team <500% are 14 over 9 under

Schwab on the road 4 over-1 under

Kolzig at home 14 over ?9 under

7 of last 8 meetings OVER

Toronto plaid the last 3 over when in this situation the 4th is 6 over-2 under

Tor 4-9-2 away in last 15

Schwab is 2-6 on road winning against NYRangers and Florida.



The Maple Leafs have also been playing without forward Alexander Mogilny (back pain) and defenseman Dmitry Yushkevich (blood clot). Both are out indefinitely.

Maple Leafs backup Corey Schwab has allowed seven goals in two games since Curtis Joseph broke his left hand on Tuesday.

"We've got 20 games left and every one is important to us," Jaromir Jagr said. "We're chasing Carolina, we're chasing Montreal." It's a stunning situation for a club with this much talent but there are signs that the situation is finally turning. In fact, Toronto might be hitting town at the worst possible time, Washington is coming off a 3-2 overtime win at Ottawa Saturday that was their fifth victory in the last seven games (5-1-1). Oates goes into tonight's game against Toronto riding a seven-game scoring streak, with three goals and nine assists over that stretch.
And it's the work of Jagr and Oates together that has caused opponents to take notice.



Toronto away when scoring 3 goals or less 5-15
Toronto away when scoring 4 goals or more 7-1
Washington at home when scoring 2 goals or less 2-4
Washington at home when scoring 3 goals or more 13-2
Considering what Schwabb has been doing and wash recent off success, 3 goals or more looks like a strong possibility

Toronto away allowing 2 goals or less 8-2
Toronto away allowing 3 goals or more 3-14
Washington at home allowing 3 goals or less 14-4
Washington at home allowing 4 goals or more 0-7
Washington at home allowing 3 goals or more 2-10


Washington offense has been doing good lately at 3,20 in last 5 and at 2,71 for the season. When Toronto is on the road against an off>2.70 they are 6L and 2W
Washington defense is at 3.10 when Toronto is away against def>2.95 they are 4 over and 1 under.

I?ll take Washington and the over
 

Frogy

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Pittsburgh AND NYISL last 10 games brake down.

Pittsburg against offense > 2.70
Nyisl is at 2.88
Ottawa 3.07 L1-5 OVER
Nyrangers 2.81 L3-4 OVER
Philadelphia 3.09 L2-3 UNDER
Detroit 3.14 L2-4 OVER
Los angeles 2.71 L4-5 OVER
San jose 2.92 L3-6 OVER

Nyislanders against defense over 2.80
Atlanta W4-1 UNDER
Atlanta L3-4 OVER
Minnesota L3-4 OVER
Florida T6-6 OVER
Nyrangers W6-3 OVER


Pittsburg defense is so bad that?s a mismatch for me NYILS AND THE OVER. SPECIALLY LIKE the over
 

Frogy

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Recap:
(Wash) + (over)
(Pitt nyisl over) + (nyils might go whit ML)
(philadel boston over)+ (philadel small)
salami over

looking at mtl and the under
looking at NYR
looking at Edmonton.
 

Frogy

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Looking at montreal numbers against team whit offense under 2.40. My numbers are from 2 week before Olympics games but still .....they are 8 win-1 lost and 1 tie against offense under 2.50

Players saud that they let theodore down after saturday games and coaching said team will have to be more cautious on defense.

Like more and more montreal and the under.

BTW be carefull if you have Nyisl at -1,5 thats 2 goals, not shure they will cover. 1.5 can be a killer.
 

wigs

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looking at mont under as well, i think nurminen is in nets for atl--although after that 6 goal 3rd period in atlanta friday night against NYI, i guess i need to look a little deeper--good luck frogman:D
 

Terryray

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Boston and Philadelphia

Boston and Philadelphia

more potentially useful situational stats

Boston is 12-3 ATS after a divisional game this season

Boston over is 17-7 revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals (over last 3 seasons)

Boston over is 5-1 in home games off a road loss this season

under is 8-2 in Phila games this season after scoring 4 goals or more in previous game
 

Frogy

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Terryray tx very nice and strong stats.
Really appreciate
I just feel that since thorthon is such an important part of that offense and since he did'nt miss much games this year this could "biase" the datas for boston.........you are making me hesitate but i thing i will ride this train (phila) anyway but smaller than first thaught

i still have 45 min to thing about it......geeees you are making my life hard.......
 

Frogy

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Working on the kings game at the moment, found this..................................

Los Angeles Injuries
Andy Murray
Coach
Ribs, Shoulder
Out indefinitely


I know the guys is hurt and this is still good info but just thaught it strange to see a coach on the injury list:confused:
 

Frogy

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BTW posting it as i heard it.

Montreal coach told his player we will see in the next games who is pround to by a mtl canadian. This often is a sign of a little effort by the players.
 

Terryray

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Frogy

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Its a pass for me..........going to bed
suck real bad last 5 or 6 days

CBC
:confused:

I'll have to find something.............
 
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