Quick Lane Bowl
western mich (-6.5) 6 units. i'll start with the negative.... i may have mentioned a few times that i HATE betting on bowl teams basically playing home games. and there are some huge unknowns in this game. in case you missed it, nevada's head coach fled to colorado st. they lost 20 players and half their coaching staff. teams in similar situations always seem to band together and outplay their expectations. but i've been waiting to bet against nevada in a bowl game, and i gotta stick with it. i'll start with perhaps an overlooked factor... while the 11AM start will be early for the broncos, it's REALLY early for the boys from nevada. but the real reason i've been waiting for this game... nevada's o-line is terrible. they give up a lot of sacks. and wmu is 15th in the country in sacks. 3 of nevada's starting o-linemen are still playing in this game, but i'm not sure that's a positive for the wolfpack. may be a long day for nevada qb nate cox, making his first college start. it certainly won't help that their top 5 WRs/TEs are not playing.
nevada may need to try to run the ball. wmu's run defense certainly isn't that good. but nevada hasn't run the ball all year. they are 2nd-to-last in the country, averaging 73.5 yards/game, and 3rd-to-last, averaging 2.88 yards/carry. even though both of their top RBs are expected to play, that may not be enough to generate any offense.
Military Bowl
ECU (ML) 5 units to win 6.3. gonna keep this one short and sweet. ECU has a solid offense, led by ahlers. but we're going to see a big dose of keaton mitchell. this kid averaged 6.5 yards/carry and he breaks off a lot of big runs. the bc run defense is porous. while ECU's defense is nothing to write home about, BC will have the same problem they've had for a while... not enough offense to even take advantage of a poor defense.
western mich (-6.5) 6 units. i'll start with the negative.... i may have mentioned a few times that i HATE betting on bowl teams basically playing home games. and there are some huge unknowns in this game. in case you missed it, nevada's head coach fled to colorado st. they lost 20 players and half their coaching staff. teams in similar situations always seem to band together and outplay their expectations. but i've been waiting to bet against nevada in a bowl game, and i gotta stick with it. i'll start with perhaps an overlooked factor... while the 11AM start will be early for the broncos, it's REALLY early for the boys from nevada. but the real reason i've been waiting for this game... nevada's o-line is terrible. they give up a lot of sacks. and wmu is 15th in the country in sacks. 3 of nevada's starting o-linemen are still playing in this game, but i'm not sure that's a positive for the wolfpack. may be a long day for nevada qb nate cox, making his first college start. it certainly won't help that their top 5 WRs/TEs are not playing.
nevada may need to try to run the ball. wmu's run defense certainly isn't that good. but nevada hasn't run the ball all year. they are 2nd-to-last in the country, averaging 73.5 yards/game, and 3rd-to-last, averaging 2.88 yards/carry. even though both of their top RBs are expected to play, that may not be enough to generate any offense.
Military Bowl
ECU (ML) 5 units to win 6.3. gonna keep this one short and sweet. ECU has a solid offense, led by ahlers. but we're going to see a big dose of keaton mitchell. this kid averaged 6.5 yards/carry and he breaks off a lot of big runs. the bc run defense is porous. while ECU's defense is nothing to write home about, BC will have the same problem they've had for a while... not enough offense to even take advantage of a poor defense.
